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Red Sox at Marlins



Miami shut out Boston 4-0, breaking it open in the first when Hernández singled home Stowers for the lead. Sanoja led the way for the Marlins, going 3-for-4 with an RBI. Boston still leads the season series 2-1 after the loss. The Red Sox head to the Yankees Friday, while Miami visits the Nationals.
Both clubs struggled to cash in on chances all night, with Boston stranding 9 runners and Miami leaving 10 on base.
The win pushed the Marlins to 68-66 on the season, while the Red Sox dropped to 73-60.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Red Sox sit 3rd in the AL East, 6 games back, coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30). The Red Sox are up next at Yankees (Aug 28-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Red Sox to winMiss
BOS -1.5 · 55%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSBoston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| MIAMiami Marlins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Sogard | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .267 | .379 | .393 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .285 | .323 | .455 |
Wilyer Abreu | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .252 | .332 | .458 |
Caleb Durbin | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .256 | .325 | .398 |
Mickey Gasper | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .275 | .364 | .466 |
Andruw Monasterio | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .255 | .317 | .411 |
Jarren Duran | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .210 | .266 | .370 |
Eli White | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .234 | .282 | .380 |
Anthony Seigler | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .252 | .329 | .408 |
Jahmai Jones | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .215 | .301 | .380 |
Connor Wong | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .246 | .327 | .374 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sonny Gray | 5.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 93-54 | 2.82 | 93 |
Jovani Moran | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 33-22 | 2.89 | 33 |
Wyatt Olds | 1.0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25-15 | 0.00 | 25 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | MIA 100.0 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | MIA 99.6 | 1.1 | |
| T9 | MIA 98.5 | 1.9 | |
| T9 | MIA 96.6 | 1.9 | |
| B8 | MIA 98.5 | 0.3 | |
| B8 | MIA 98.8 | 0.1 | |
| B8 | MIA 98.6 | 1.4 | |
| B8 | MIA 97.2 | 0.3 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.