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Red Sox at Marlins



Red Sox outlasted the Marlins 7-3 in 11 innings, breaking it open when Duran homered to right center in the 11th, scoring Contreras, Jones and Monasterio. Gasper led Boston at the plate, going 2-for-2 with two home runs and two RBIs. Red Sox visit Marlins on Wednesday.
Both clubs left plenty on the bases, with Boston stranding 7 and Miami leaving 11 runners aboard.
The win pushed Boston to 73-59 while Miami dropped to 67-66.
Boston also took the season series 2-0 with the result.
The Red Sox sit 3rd in the AL East, 6 games back, coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10. The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Red Sox are up next at Yankees (Aug 28-29). The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Red Sox to winHit
BOS -1.5 · 58%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSBoston Red Sox | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Sogard | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .275 | .389 | .405 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .288 | .325 | .458 |
Wilyer Abreu | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .254 | .333 | .460 |
Willson Contreras | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .281 | .390 | .526 |
Mickey Gasper | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | .281 | .367 | .477 |
Jahmai Jones | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .217 | .304 | .383 |
Andruw Monasterio | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .253 | .311 | .410 |
Jarren Duran | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .209 | .266 | .370 |
Anthony Seigler | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | .250 | .329 | .410 |
Eli White | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .236 | .284 | .382 |
Caleb Durbin | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .254 | .323 | .397 |
Connor Wong | 0-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .250 | .328 | .381 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payton Tolle | 5.1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 97-62 | 3.09 | 97 |
Tyron Guerrero | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26-16 | 2.72 | 26 |
Greg Weissert | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-10 | 3.93 | 12 |
Erik Miller | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13-10 | 2.09 | 13 |
Wyatt Olds | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18-13 | 0.00 | 18 |
Alec Gamboa | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20-10 | 1.31 | 20 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B11 | BOS 100.0 | 1.8 | |
| B11 | BOS 98.4 | 3.1 | |
| B11 | BOS 95.3 | 4.7 | |
| B11 | BOS 90.6 | 4.8 | |
| T11 | BOS 95.4 | 0.2 | |
| T11 | BOS 95.6 | 0.3 | |
| T11 | BOS 95.9 | 38.5 | |
| T11 | BOS 57.4 | 13.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.