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Red Sox at Blue Jays



Boston made this one look easy. Contreras got things moving in the first with a double that scored Abreu, and Durbin turned in a monster night, going 3-for-5 with a homer and 5 RBI to lead the Red Sox to a 7-0 win. Boston out-hit Toronto 10-2 in a game that was never in doubt. The Red Sox head to Pittsburgh to face the Pirates Friday, while the Blue Jays host the Yankees.
The Red Sox rolled past the Blue Jays 7-0, and it started early with Contreras doubling home Abreu in the first inning.
Durbin did the heavy lifting, going 3-for-5 with a home run and 5 RBI, and Boston backed him up by out-hitting Toronto 10-2.
The win pushes Boston to 65-56 while the Blue Jays slip to 59-64, though Toronto still holds a 9-4 edge in the season series.
The Red Sox sit 3rd in the AL East, 6 games back, coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10. The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Red Sox are up next at Yankees (Aug 28-29). The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Red Sox to winHit
BOS -1.5 · 57%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSBoston Red Sox | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Sogard | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .247 | .368 | .326 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .288 | .326 | .467 |
Wilyer Abreu | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 29 | .254 | .333 | .462 |
Willson Contreras | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .280 | .389 | .529 |
Masataka Yoshida | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .270 | .345 | .395 |
Caleb Durbin | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .253 | .322 | .410 |
Jarren Duran | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .201 | .259 | .354 |
Andruw Monasterio | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .269 | .331 | .444 |
Connor Wong | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .241 | .326 | .358 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Payton Tolle | 8.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 91-61 | 2.97 | 91 |
Greg Weissert | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17-10 | 3.88 | 17 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | BOS 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | BOS 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | BOS 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | BOS 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BOS 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BOS 99.9 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | BOS 99.7 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | BOS 99.6 | 0.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.