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Red Sox at Blue Jays



Toronto pulled ahead in the eighth when Okamoto singled home Guerrero Jr., and the Blue Jays made it stand up for a 6-4 win over Boston. Straw led the way for the Blue Jays, going 2-for-4 with 2 RBI, and the Blue Jays outhit the Red Sox 12-8. Boston's Suarez turned in a solid start but left with a no-decision. The two clubs meet again Thursday, with Boston visiting Toronto and Toronto hosting Boston.
The Blue Jays broke a tie in the eighth as Okamoto singled to left to score Guerrero Jr., with Valenzuela moving to third and Okamoto to second on the play.
Straw paced Toronto at the plate, going 2-for-4 with 2 RBI, and the Blue Jays finished with 12 hits to Boston's 8.
Suarez deserved better for Boston after working 5.0 innings and allowing just 1 earned run on 6 hits with 2 strikeouts, but he left with a no-decision as the Blue Jays improved to 59-63 while the Red Sox fell to 64-56, with Toronto now leading the season series 9-3.
The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Red Sox sit 3rd in the AL East, 6 games back, coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners. The Red Sox are up next at Yankees (Aug 28-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Red Sox to winMiss
BOS -1.5 · 55%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSBoston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Masataka Yoshida | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .265 | .340 | .391 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .286 | .324 | .467 |
Adley Rutschman | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .249 | .334 | .427 |
Willson Contreras | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | .280 | .390 | .529 |
Wilyer Abreu | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .254 | .330 | .463 |
Caleb Durbin | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .249 | .318 | .399 |
Jarren Duran | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .203 | .260 | .357 |
Andruw Monasterio | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .270 | .332 | .448 |
Nick Sogard | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .259 | .376 | .341 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ranger Suarez | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 81-54 | 3.25 | 81 |
Justin Slaten | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21-14 | 4.60 | 21 |
Erik Miller | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-11 | 2.43 | 17 |
Tyron Guerrero | 0.0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20-12 | 3.19 | 20 |
Alec Gamboa | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 1.93 | 9 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | TOR 100.0 | 4.0 | |
| T9 | TOR 96.0 | 7.1 | |
| T9 | TOR 88.9 | 7.0 | |
| T9 | TOR 95.9 | 2.0 | |
| T9 | TOR 97.9 | 1.5 | |
| T9 | TOR 99.4 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | TOR 99.8 | 0.4 | |
| B8 | TOR 99.4 | 0.1 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.