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Red Sox at Blue Jays



In a solid showing, the Blue Jays take down the Red Sox 5-3, fueled by key moments and strong performances. The pivotal go-ahead run came in the sixth inning, showcasing their ability to capitalize. With this win, Toronto leads the season series 8-3 and improves their record to 58-63.
The Blue Jays secured a 5-3 victory over the Red Sox, putting them in a favorable position in the series. The decisive moment came in the sixth inning when Clement grounded into a fielder's choice, allowing Springer to score while Kirk was out at second.
The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Red Sox sit 3rd in the AL East, 6 games back, coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners. The Red Sox are up next at Yankees (Aug 28-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Blue Jays to winHit
TOR -1.5 · 55%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSBoston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Masataka Yoshida | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .269 | .345 | .398 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .287 | .324 | .469 |
Adley Rutschman | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 29 | .252 | .336 | .432 |
Willson Contreras | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .280 | .389 | .523 |
Wilyer Abreu | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .254 | .331 | .463 |
Caleb Durbin | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | .246 | .317 | .398 |
Jarren Duran | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .202 | .260 | .356 |
Andruw Monasterio | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .268 | .329 | .447 |
Nick Sogard | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 | .259 | .381 | .346 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Sandoval | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 84-50 | 3.30 | 84 |
Tyron Guerrero | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 2.03 | 9 |
Seth Martinez | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22-17 | 9.00 | 22 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | TOR 100.0 | 3.9 | |
| T9 | TOR 96.1 | 6.0 | |
| T9 | TOR 90.1 | 6.2 | |
| T9 | TOR 96.3 | 3.9 | |
| B8 | TOR 92.4 | 1.6 | |
| B8 | TOR 94.0 | 7.8 | |
| B8 | TOR 86.2 | 1.2 | |
| B8 | TOR 85.0 | 1.7 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.