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Red Sox at Blue Jays



The Blue Jays edged the Red Sox in a tight contest, securing a 2-1 victory. McAdoo's homer in the fifth inning proved decisive, giving Toronto the lead. With this win, the Blue Jays improved their record while extending their advantage in the season series.
Blue Jays edged Red Sox 2-1 in a closely contested game. McAdoo provided the game-winning moment, homering to right in the fifth inning to give Toronto the lead. With this victory, the Blue Jays improved to 57-63, while the Red Sox fell to 64-54, and Toronto now leads the season series 7-3.
The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Red Sox sit 3rd in the AL East, 6 games back, coming off a loss, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners. The Red Sox are up next at Yankees (Aug 28-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Red Sox to winMiss
BOS -1.5 · 60%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOSBoston Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Sogard | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .253 | .366 | .342 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .287 | .326 | .464 |
Wilyer Abreu | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .253 | .329 | .457 |
Willson Contreras | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .283 | .393 | .528 |
Masataka Yoshida | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | .270 | .348 | .398 |
Eli White | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .236 | .288 | .396 |
Caleb Durbin | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .249 | .320 | .403 |
Jarren Duran | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .201 | .258 | .356 |
Anthony Seigler | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .250 | .316 | .397 |
Connor Wong | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .247 | .333 | .367 |
Andruw Monasterio | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .267 | .327 | .449 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sonny Gray | 6.0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 99-63 | 2.79 | 99 |
Jovani Moran | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28-18 | 2.52 | 28 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | TOR 100.0 | 13.1 | |
| T9 | TOR 86.9 | 20.0 | |
| T9 | TOR 66.9 | 3.3 | |
| T9 | TOR 63.6 | 19.9 | |
| B8 | TOR 83.5 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | TOR 84.3 | 1.0 | |
| B8 | TOR 85.3 | 1.4 | |
| T8 | TOR 86.7 | 8.4 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.