at
Rays at Tigers



Tampa Bay got the scoring started early and never let go, riding a two-run, one-homer night from Aranda to a 4-1 win over Detroit. The Rays managed it despite getting beat badly in the strikeout column, 12 to 3. Tampa Bay moves to 78-53 while Detroit slips to 61-70, though the Tigers still hold the season series edge at 3-1. The Rays and Tigers meet again Tuesday.
The Rays broke through in the first inning when Caminero grounded out to shortstop, bringing home Díaz for the go-ahead run.
Aranda led the way for Tampa Bay, going 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI.
Detroit's pitching racked up 12 strikeouts to Tampa Bay's three, but it wasn't enough to prevent the loss.
The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Tigers sit 4th in the AL Central, 8 games back, coming off a loss, 2-8 over their last 10.
The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30). The Tigers are up next home vs Dodgers (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Tigers to winMiss
TB -1.5 · 56%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| DETDetroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yandy Diaz | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .305 | .373 | .466 |
Ryan Vilade | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .264 | .324 | .482 |
Cedric Mullins | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .205 | .286 | .352 |
Junior Caminero | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .277 | .364 | .531 |
Jonny DeLuca | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .271 | .301 | .438 |
Jonathan Aranda | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .280 | .363 | .420 |
Jorge Mateo | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .236 | .286 | .389 |
Nick Fortes | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .263 | .307 | .363 |
Chandler Simpson | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .310 | .337 | .364 |
Taylor Walls | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .215 | .301 | .290 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drew Rasmussen | 6.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 103-71 | 2.95 | 103 |
Garrett Cleavinger | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14-10 | 3.63 | 14 |
Manuel Rodriguez | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23-14 | 0.00 | 23 |
Bryan Baker | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-13 | 1.56 | 16 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | TB 100.0 | 4.7 | |
| B9 | TB 95.3 | 7.1 | |
| B9 | TB 88.2 | 7.2 | |
| B9 | TB 95.4 | 2.8 | |
| B9 | TB 98.2 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | TB 95.7 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | TB 96.1 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | TB 96.6 | 0.4 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.