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Rays at Orioles



The Rays scratched across the winning run in the sixth on a pair of wild pitches from Baz, and that was enough to beat the Orioles 3-1. Simpson paced the offense going 2-for-3 with an RBI, and Tampa Bay held a 7-2 edge in hits. The Rays improve to 77-53 while Baltimore drops to 63-68, though the Orioles still lead the season series 8-5.
The go-ahead run came in the sixth inning, when Díaz scored on a wild pitch from Baz and Aranda moved up to second on another wild pitch by the same pitcher.
Simpson led the way for the Rays, going 2-for-3 with an RBI.
Tampa Bay finished with seven hits to Baltimore's two, enough to secure the 3-1 win and push the Rays to 77-53 while the Orioles fell to 63-68.
The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30). The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Orioles to winMiss
TB -1.5 · 1%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yandy Diaz | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .306 | .373 | .468 |
Jonathan Aranda | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .280 | .363 | .415 |
Junior Caminero | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .276 | .363 | .532 |
Liam Hicks | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .284 | .372 | .445 |
Kenny Piper | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .333 | .625 |
Chandler Simpson | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | .308 | .335 | .362 |
Jonny DeLuca | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .268 | .298 | .433 |
Cedric Mullins | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .206 | .287 | .353 |
Richie Palacios | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .234 | .330 | .345 |
Taylor Walls | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .218 | .305 | .293 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Martinez | 6.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 86-60 | 2.93 | 86 |
Cam Booser | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-8 | 2.03 | 14 |
Kevin Kelly | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-10 | 2.11 | 14 |
Bryan Baker | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12-9 | 1.59 | 12 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | TB 100.0 | 5.1 | |
| B9 | TB 94.9 | 7.3 | |
| B9 | TB 87.6 | 8.7 | |
| B9 | TB 78.9 | 11.6 | |
| B9 | TB 90.5 | 5.2 | |
| T9 | TB 95.7 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | TB 95.9 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | TB 96.2 | 0.4 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.