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Rays at Orioles



Alonso's fifth-inning homer put Baltimore ahead for good, and the Orioles held off Tampa Bay 5-3. Alonso finished 2-for-4 with the homer and 3 RBI, while the Rays outstruck Baltimore in strikeouts but couldn't cash in enough at the plate. Baltimore now leads the season series 7-4. The two teams meet again Saturday, with the Rays visiting the Orioles.
Alonso broke a tie in the fifth with a 443-foot homer to left center, scoring Cowser and putting Baltimore ahead for good.
Alonso finished the night 2-for-4 with the homer and 3 RBI, doing the heaviest lifting in the win.
Tampa Bay struck out 10 times to Baltimore's 6, unable to turn contact into enough offense as the Orioles improved to 62-67 and the Rays dropped to 76-52.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10. The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30). The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Orioles to winHit
TB -0 · 48%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yandy Diaz | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .305 | .374 | .470 |
Ryan Vilade | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .264 | .326 | .487 |
Jonny DeLuca | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .264 | .296 | .431 |
Jonathan Aranda | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .282 | .365 | .419 |
Junior Caminero | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .276 | .363 | .536 |
Chandler Simpson | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .306 | .333 | .361 |
Jorge Mateo | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .232 | .273 | .380 |
Kenny Piper | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .286 | .375 | .714 |
Cedric Mullins | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .207 | .285 | .353 |
Liam Hicks | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .282 | .370 | .438 |
Taylor Walls | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .222 | .306 | .299 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Freddy Peralta | 7.0 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 98-63 | 5.33 | 98 |
Garrett Cleavinger | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 3.86 | 11 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | BAL 100.0 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | BAL 98.8 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | BAL 96.3 | 3.9 | |
| B8 | BAL 92.4 | 1.5 | |
| B8 | BAL 93.9 | 0.7 | |
| B8 | BAL 93.2 | 0.6 | |
| T8 | BAL 93.8 | 3.5 | |
| T8 | BAL 90.3 | 5.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.