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Rays at Mariners



The Rays edged out the Mariners in a tightly contested matchup, scoring three runs to the Mariners' two. The game turned in the sixth inning with a key hit from Palacios. The victory boosts Tampa Bay's record, while Seattle continues to struggle this season.
Rays edged Mariners 3-2 in a close game that showcased both teams' pitching prowess. The go-ahead run came in the sixth inning when Palacios singled to right, bringing Mullins and Simpson home, while Hicks advanced to third.
R. Palacios led the Rays with a strong performance, going 2-for-3 with 2 RBI. Tampa Bay held the edge in strikeouts, recording 7 to Seattle's 5, while Mariners pitcher Kirby deserved better in a no-decision after 5.0 innings, allowing 4 hits and 1 earned run.
The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Mariners sit 3rd in the AL West, 2½ games back, coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30). The Mariners are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rays to winHit
SEA -1.5 · 56%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| SEASeattle Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yandy Diaz | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | .293 | .365 | .447 |
Jonathan Aranda | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .287 | .374 | .438 |
Junior Caminero | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .280 | .372 | .551 |
Victor Mesa Jr. | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .220 | .293 | .461 |
Chandler Simpson | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .298 | .327 | .355 |
Cedric Mullins | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .206 | .283 | .358 |
Jonny DeLuca | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .258 | .291 | .438 |
Nick Fortes | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .273 | .314 | .380 |
Liam Hicks | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .281 | .366 | .437 |
Richie Palacios | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | .231 | .333 | .349 |
Carson Williams | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .094 | .147 | .125 |
Ryan Vilade | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .251 | .311 | .462 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Casey Legumina | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 4.17 | 13 |
Cam Booser | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22-14 | 2.16 | 22 |
Tyler Wells | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26-17 | 2.51 | 26 |
Steven Matz | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20-16 | 5.64 | 20 |
Garrett Cleavinger | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13-10 | 3.28 | 13 |
Kevin Kelly | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 2.00 | 11 |
Bryan Baker | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-6 | 1.55 | 9 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | TB 100.0 | 21.4 | |
| B9 | TB 78.6 | 12.5 | |
| B9 | TB 66.1 | 13.5 | |
| T9 | TB 79.6 | 1.0 | |
| T9 | TB 80.6 | 1.3 | |
| T9 | TB 81.9 | 1.6 | |
| B8 | TB 83.5 | 15.1 | |
| B8 | TB 68.4 | 9.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.