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Rays at Mariners



The Rays narrowly defeated the Mariners, securing a 2-1 victory. DeLuca's second-inning homer proved pivotal, giving Tampa Bay the edge. Aranda's strong performance at the plate bolstered the Rays' offense as they improved their record.
Rays edged Mariners 2-1 in a tightly contested game.
The go-ahead came in the 2nd Inning when DeLuca homered to center, traveling 398 feet.
Aranda led the Rays with a 2-for-4 performance, including 1 HR and 1 RBI.
The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Mariners sit 3rd in the AL West, 2½ games back, coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30). The Mariners are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rays to winHit
TB -0 · 48%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| SEASeattle Mariners | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yandy Diaz | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .296 | .369 | .452 |
Jonathan Aranda | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .287 | .375 | .440 |
Junior Caminero | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .283 | .375 | .556 |
Liam Hicks | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .282 | .365 | .438 |
Chandler Simpson | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .296 | .325 | .353 |
Jonny DeLuca | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .259 | .292 | .440 |
Victor Mesa Jr. | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .219 | .294 | .445 |
Richie Palacios | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | .226 | .327 | .340 |
Taylor Walls | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .212 | .305 | .277 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Drew Rasmussen | 7.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 91-57 | 2.75 | 91 |
Garrett Cleavinger | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-8 | 3.09 | 13 |
Kevin Kelly | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-5 | 2.05 | 7 |
Bryan Baker | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15-12 | 1.59 | 15 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | TB 100.0 | 4.7 | |
| B9 | TB 95.3 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | TB 98.5 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | TB 95.3 | 4.8 | |
| T9 | TB 90.5 | 1.6 | |
| T9 | TB 92.1 | 1.5 | |
| T9 | TB 93.6 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | TB 92.4 | 0.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.