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Pirates at Padres



The Padres blanked the Pirates 3-0, and it started early. Rengifo's second-inning single to right brought home Merrill for the go-ahead run. Merrill led the way for San Diego, going 2-for-3 with an RBI. Next up: the Pirates head to St. Louis to face the Cardinals, while the Padres travel to face the Rays, both Friday.
San Diego also won the battle of the bats, out-hitting Pittsburgh 7-5 on the night. The result pushes the Padres to 72-62 while the Pirates slide to 65-70. With the win, the season series between the two clubs is now tied at 3-3.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 18 games back, coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Pirates are up next at Cardinals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Padres to winHit
SD -1.5 · 56%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITPittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Horwitz | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .254 | .356 | .394 |
Brandon Lowe | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | .249 | .316 | .470 |
Bryan Reynolds | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .263 | .370 | .425 |
Esmerlyn Valdez | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .249 | .363 | .536 |
Oneil Cruz | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .257 | .347 | .486 |
Nick Gonzales | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | .305 | .365 | .394 |
Jake Mangum | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .287 | .343 | .376 |
Rafael Flores Jr. | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .246 | .333 | .551 |
Jacob Gonzalez | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .213 | .262 | .356 |
Jared Triolo | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .242 | .316 | .307 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bubba Chandler | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 83-54 | 4.26 | 83 |
Lake Bachar | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 3.70 | 16 |
Kirby Yates | 0.2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 35-20 | 3.49 | 35 |
Noah Murdock | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-5 | 0.00 | 5 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | SD 100.0 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | SD 99.6 | 1.1 | |
| T9 | SD 98.5 | 1.9 | |
| B8 | SD 96.6 | 0.9 | |
| B8 | SD 97.5 | 0.4 | |
| B8 | SD 97.1 | 0.2 | |
| B8 | SD 96.9 | 0.6 | |
| B8 | SD 97.5 | 3.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.