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Pirates at Padres



Oneil Cruz broke a scoreless tie in the ninth, sending one 379 feet to right field to give Pittsburgh a 1-0 win over San Diego. Cruz finished 1-for-3 with the homer and the lone RBI of the night. The Pirates outhit the Padres 6-3 in a game decided by the smallest of margins. Next up, the two clubs meet again Wednesday, with Pittsburgh visiting San Diego.
Padres starter King left with nothing to show for a strong outing, going seven innings and allowing five hits with no earned runs and seven strikeouts in a no-decision.
The win pushed Pittsburgh to 65-69 while San Diego dropped to 71-62 on the year.
The Pirates now hold a 3-2 edge in the season series after tonight's result.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 18 games back, coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10. The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Pirates are up next at Cardinals (Aug 28-30). The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Padres to winMiss
SD -1.5 · 55%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITPittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Horwitz | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .252 | .355 | .394 |
Brandon Lowe | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | .250 | .315 | .472 |
Bryan Reynolds | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .263 | .370 | .426 |
Nick Gonzales | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .307 | .366 | .396 |
Oneil Cruz | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .260 | .348 | .491 |
Jake Mangum | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | .290 | .344 | .379 |
Billy Cook | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .180 | .196 | .240 |
Jacob Gonzalez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .215 | .265 | .360 |
Jared Triolo | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .240 | .315 | .305 |
Henry Davis | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .167 | .265 | .295 |
Rafael Flores Jr. | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .262 | .351 | .585 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Skenes | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 87-55 | 3.79 | 87 |
Camilo Doval | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17-10 | 3.83 | 17 |
Gregory Soto | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11-10 | 3.32 | 11 |
Mason Montgomery | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24-16 | 3.19 | 24 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | PIT 100.0 | 14.8 | |
| B9 | PIT 90.1 | 5.2 | |
| B9 | PIT 95.3 | 6.8 | |
| B9 | PIT 88.5 | 8.9 | |
| T9 | PIT 79.6 | 1.0 | |
| T9 | PIT 80.6 | 41.1 | |
| T9 | SD 60.5 | 4.7 | |
| T9 | SD 55.8 | 5.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.