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Pirates at Padres



Pirates and Padres traded zeroes into extras, and Pittsburgh finally broke through in the 12th when Gonzales singled home Triolo for the winner. It capped a pitcher's duel that saw the Pirates hold a real edge in strikeouts. Pittsburgh moves to 64-69 while San Diego drops to 71-61, and the season series is now tied 2-2. The two sides meet again Tuesday, with the Pirates visiting the Padres.
Gonzales singled to center in the 12th, scoring Triolo and breaking a 2-2 deadlock that had held since the middle innings.
Gonzales led the way for Pittsburgh, going 2-for-5 with an RBI in the extra-inning finish.
The Pirates outstruck the Padres 15 to 10 in a game that stayed scoreless for long stretches before the late breakthrough.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 18 games back, coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10. The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Pirates are up next at Cardinals (Aug 28-30). The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Padres to winMiss
PIT -1.5 · 48%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITPittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nick Gonzales | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 27 | .308 | .366 | .397 |
Esmerlyn Valdez | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .249 | .364 | .541 |
Billy Cook | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .180 | .196 | .240 |
Jake Mangum | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .292 | .345 | .382 |
Bryan Reynolds | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .261 | .370 | .424 |
Oneil Cruz | 0-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | .259 | .346 | .481 |
Rafael Flores Jr. | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .266 | .356 | .594 |
Brandon Lowe | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | .252 | .317 | .475 |
Nick Yorke | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .208 | .274 | .281 |
Jacob Gonzalez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .219 | .269 | .367 |
Spencer Horwitz | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .252 | .356 | .395 |
Jared Triolo | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | .239 | .315 | .305 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Braxton Ashcraft | 6.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 91-63 | 3.59 | 91 |
Gregory Soto | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14-8 | 3.38 | 14 |
Luke Weaver | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 34-19 | 2.36 | 34 |
Mason Montgomery | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-10 | 3.25 | 12 |
Camilo Doval | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-5 | 3.91 | 6 |
Kirby Yates | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19-10 | 3.32 | 19 |
Yohan Ramirez | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17-12 | 3.15 | 17 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B12 | PIT 100.0 | 14.8 | |
| B12 | PIT 85.2 | 14.2 | |
| B12 | PIT 71.0 | 15.8 | |
| T12 | PIT 55.2 | 6.2 | |
| T12 | PIT 59.2 | 4.6 | |
| T12 | PIT 63.8 | 5.1 | |
| T12 | PIT 68.9 | 18.9 | |
| B11 | SD 50.0 | 16.5 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.