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Pirates at Marlins



Pittsburgh blew this one open behind Flores Jr., who went deep twice and drove in six as the Pirates ran past Miami 13-1. A go-ahead run in the fifth on a balk got things rolling, and the Pirates piled up 16 hits to Miami's three. The Marlins still hold a 4-2 edge in the season series despite the lopsided loss. Up next, the Pirates host the Red Sox Friday while the Marlins head to Cincinnati.
Flores Jr. carried Pittsburgh's offense, going 2-for-5 with two home runs and six RBIs in the rout.
The go-ahead run scored in the fifth when Mangum crossed on a balk, breaking things open for good.
Pittsburgh out-hit Miami 16-3 on the night, improving to 59-64 while the Marlins slipped to 62-60.
The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 18 games back, coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10. The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Pirates are up next at Cardinals (Aug 28-30). The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winMiss
PIT -1.5 · 53%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITPittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 1 |
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spencer Horwitz | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | .262 | .367 | .418 |
Brandon Lowe | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | .250 | .316 | .476 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .262 | .374 | .432 |
Jhostynxon Garcia | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .167 | .200 | .188 |
Nick Gonzales | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .309 | .362 | .401 |
Esmerlyn Valdez | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .250 | .368 | .558 |
Jacob Gonzalez | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | .233 | .288 | .393 |
| Jack Brannigan | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
Jake Mangum | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .301 | .354 | .395 |
Jared Triolo | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .250 | .326 | .325 |
Rafael Flores Jr. | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .233 | .361 | .567 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Braxton Ashcraft | 9.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 85-64 | 3.82 | 85 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | PIT 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | PIT 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | PIT 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | PIT 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | PIT 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | PIT 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | PIT 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | PIT 99.9 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.