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Pirates at Marlins



Miami rolled Pittsburgh 8-2, breaking it open in the third when Ramírez doubled home Conine and sent Hernández to third. Conine had himself a night, going 2-for-2 with a homer and an RBI, and the Marlins outhit the Pirates 9-6 to back it up. Miami improves to 62-59 while Pittsburgh slides to 58-64, and the Marlins now hold a 4-1 edge in the season series. Pittsburgh heads to Miami for another meeting Thursday.
Miami broke the game open in the third when Ramírez doubled to left, scoring Conine and moving Hernández to third.
Conine led the way at the plate, going 2-for-2 with a homer and an RBI.
The Marlins outhit the Pirates 9-6 on the night, improving to 62-59 while Pittsburgh dropped to 58-64.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Pirates sit 4th in the NL Central, 18 games back, coming off a loss, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30). The Pirates are up next at Cardinals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winHit
MIA -1.5 · 53%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITPittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Mangum | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .295 | .347 | .382 |
Brandon Lowe | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .251 | .318 | .480 |
Bryan Reynolds | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .264 | .375 | .436 |
Spencer Horwitz | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .261 | .368 | .420 |
Nick Gonzales | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .307 | .360 | .400 |
Ronny Simon | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .333 | .385 | .375 |
Esmerlyn Valdez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .246 | .368 | .563 |
Jacob Gonzalez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .233 | .285 | .377 |
Henry Davis | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .174 | .269 | .310 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Carmen Mlodzinski | 2.1 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 59-34 | 3.79 | 59 |
Evan Sisk | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21-10 | 2.66 | 21 |
Lake Bachar | 3.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 46-27 | 3.97 | 46 |
Kirby Yates | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-11 | 3.62 | 18 |
Camilo Doval | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25-15 | 4.23 | 25 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | MIA 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | MIA 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | MIA 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | MIA 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | MIA 99.9 | 0.2 | |
| B8 | MIA 99.7 | 0.1 | |
| B8 | MIA 99.8 | — | |
| B8 | MIA 99.8 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.