San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays

atPadres at Rays

August 28 · 7:10 PM EDT

· TB -132 · O/U 7.5

Padres roll into Tampa Bay short a starter

The Padres head to Tropicana Field having lost Casey Mize mid-start Saturday, a sprained right ankle from a dugout-steps slip cutting his outing short against the Twins. That's one less arm San Diego can lean on as the series with the Rays gets underway.

Keys to the game

With Mize sidelined, San Diego's staff options shift toward the likes of Walker Buehler, Griffin Canning, Michael King and Mason Miller to cover innings against Tampa Bay.
The Rays counter with their own deep pitching mix, from Shane McClanahan and Steven Matz to a bullpen featuring Nick Martinez, Bryan Baker and Kevin Kelly, giving Tampa Bay plenty of arms to turn to once first pitch is thrown.

Our predictionLow confidence

Where they standLast 5Last 5Record

San Diego Padres2nd in the NL West, 8.5 backWLLWWW131-34Away

Tampa Bay Rays1st in the AL EastWLWWLW143-23Home

Our pick, projected final

Padres5

Rays4

Who the model favours

Our model’s chance each side takes this one, before anyone has played a minute of it.

San Diego Padres

46%

Tampa Bay Rays

54%

Padres to win

Projected starting lineups

Taken from each club's most recent lineup. The official cards post 2 to 3 hours before first pitch.

San Diego Padresvs LHP

Fernando Tatis Jr.#23RHB ▲.285Right field

Jake Cronenworth#9LHBSecond base

Manny Machado#13RHB ▲Third base

Ty France#25RHB ▲.288First base

Jackson Merrill#3LHB.239coldCenter field

Jase Bowen#4RHB ▲Left field

Gavin Sheets#30LHBDesignated hitter

Xander Bogaerts#2RHB ▲Shortstop

Freddy Fermin#54RHB ▲Catcher

Tampa Bay Raysvs RHP

Yandy Díaz#2RHB.301Designated hitter

Jonathan Aranda#8LHB ▲First base

Junior Caminero#13RHB.280Third base

Kenny Piper#50RHBCatcher

Chandler Simpson#14LHB ▲.308Left field

Jonny DeLuca#21RHBRight field

Richie Palacios#1LHB ▲Second base

Jorge Mateo#9RHBShortstop

Cedric Mullins#31LHB ▲Center field

Injury report

Who is unavailable, in each club’s own words to the league. A day-to-day designation still allows a start, so a name here is not always a scratch; an injured-list stint is.

San Diego Padres5 listed

Samad TaylorLeft field · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Joe MusgroveStarting pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-02.

Jason AdamRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-04.

Miguel AndujarDesignated hitter · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-09-04.

Jeremiah EstradaRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-09.

Tampa Bay Rays5 listed

Cole SulserRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Jake FraleyRight field · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Jonathan HeasleyRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Edwin UcetaRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-03.

Griffin JaxStarting pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-05.

League standings

The full ladder, with both clubs marked.

AL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Tampa Bay Rays79-54.594W1

2New York Yankees75-57.568W1

3Boston Red Sox73-60.549L1

4Toronto Blue Jays65-69.485W1

5Baltimore Orioles65-69.485L1

AL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Chicago White Sox70-63.526W2

2Cleveland Guardians68-66.507W7

3Minnesota Twins64-70.478L2

4Detroit Tigers62-71.466L1

5Kansas City Royals59-75.440L1

AL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Houston Astros66-67.496L1

2Texas Rangers66-68.493L2

3Seattle Mariners64-70.478L1

4Oakland Athletics53-81.396W2

5Los Angeles Angels52-82.388L4

NL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Atlanta Braves78-55.586W3

2Philadelphia Phillies74-60.552W1

3Miami Marlins68-66.507W1

4Washington Nationals63-73.463W1

5New York Mets60-73.451L1

NL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Milwaukee Brewers82-51.617W1

2Chicago Cubs76-58.567L2

3St. Louis Cardinals67-68.496W1

4Pittsburgh Pirates65-70.481L1

5Cincinnati Reds63-71.470W1

NL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Los Angeles Dodgers80-53.602L2

2San Diego Padres72-62.537W1

3Arizona Diamondbacks71-63.530W2

4San Francisco Giants54-79.406L1

5Colorado Rockies52-82.388L1

Padres at Rays

San Diego

Padres

Tampa Bay

Rays

Post Game SummaryStat Savant

atPadres at Rays

August 28 · 7:10 PM EDT

· TB -132 · O/U 7.5

Padres roll into Tampa Bay short a starter

Keys to the game

With Mize sidelined, San Diego's staff options shift toward the likes of Walker Buehler, Griffin Canning, Michael King and Mason Miller to cover innings against Tampa Bay.
The Rays counter with their own deep pitching mix, from Shane McClanahan and Steven Matz to a bullpen featuring Nick Martinez, Bryan Baker and Kevin Kelly, giving Tampa Bay plenty of arms to turn to once first pitch is thrown.

Our predictionLow confidence

Where they standLast 5Last 5Record

San Diego Padres2nd in the NL West, 8.5 backWLLWWW131-34Away

Tampa Bay Rays1st in the AL EastWLWWLW143-23Home

Our pick, projected final

Padres5

Rays4

Who the model favours

Our model’s chance each side takes this one, before anyone has played a minute of it.

San Diego Padres

46%

Tampa Bay Rays

54%

Padres to win

Projected starting lineups

Taken from each club's most recent lineup. The official cards post 2 to 3 hours before first pitch.

San Diego Padresvs LHP

Fernando Tatis Jr.#23RHB ▲.285Right field

Jake Cronenworth#9LHBSecond base

Manny Machado#13RHB ▲Third base

Ty France#25RHB ▲.288First base

Jackson Merrill#3LHB.239coldCenter field

Jase Bowen#4RHB ▲Left field

Gavin Sheets#30LHBDesignated hitter

Xander Bogaerts#2RHB ▲Shortstop

Freddy Fermin#54RHB ▲Catcher

Tampa Bay Raysvs RHP

Yandy Díaz#2RHB.301Designated hitter

Jonathan Aranda#8LHB ▲First base

Junior Caminero#13RHB.280Third base

Kenny Piper#50RHBCatcher

Chandler Simpson#14LHB ▲.308Left field

Jonny DeLuca#21RHBRight field

Richie Palacios#1LHB ▲Second base

Jorge Mateo#9RHBShortstop

Cedric Mullins#31LHB ▲Center field

Injury report

Who is unavailable, in each club’s own words to the league. A day-to-day designation still allows a start, so a name here is not always a scratch; an injured-list stint is.

San Diego Padres5 listed

Samad TaylorLeft field · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Joe MusgroveStarting pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-02.

Jason AdamRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-04.

Miguel AndujarDesignated hitter · is on the 10-day injured list. Back 2026-09-04.

Jeremiah EstradaRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-09.

Tampa Bay Rays5 listed

Cole SulserRelief pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-08-28.

Jake FraleyRight field · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Jonathan HeasleyRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-01.

Edwin UcetaRelief pitcher · is on the 60-day injured list. Back 2026-09-03.

Griffin JaxStarting pitcher · is on the 15-day injured list. Back 2026-09-05.

League standings

The full ladder, with both clubs marked.

AL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Tampa Bay Rays79-54.594W1

2New York Yankees75-57.568W1

3Boston Red Sox73-60.549L1

4Toronto Blue Jays65-69.485W1

5Baltimore Orioles65-69.485L1

AL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Chicago White Sox70-63.526W2

2Cleveland Guardians68-66.507W7

3Minnesota Twins64-70.478L2

4Detroit Tigers62-71.466L1

5Kansas City Royals59-75.440L1

AL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Houston Astros66-67.496L1

2Texas Rangers66-68.493L2

3Seattle Mariners64-70.478L1

4Oakland Athletics53-81.396W2

5Los Angeles Angels52-82.388L4

NL East

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Atlanta Braves78-55.586W3

2Philadelphia Phillies74-60.552W1

3Miami Marlins68-66.507W1

4Washington Nationals63-73.463W1

5New York Mets60-73.451L1

NL Central

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Milwaukee Brewers82-51.617W1

2Chicago Cubs76-58.567L2

3St. Louis Cardinals67-68.496W1

4Pittsburgh Pirates65-70.481L1

5Cincinnati Reds63-71.470W1

NL West

#ClubW-LPCTStreak

1Los Angeles Dodgers80-53.602L2

2San Diego Padres72-62.537W1

3Arizona Diamondbacks71-63.530W2

4San Francisco Giants54-79.406L1

5Colorado Rockies52-82.388L1

San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays — Aug 28, 2026

Padres roll into Tampa Bay short a starter

Keys to the game

Who the model favours

Projected starting lineups

Injury report

League standings

San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays — Aug 28, 2026

Padres roll into Tampa Bay short a starter

Keys to the game

Who the model favours

Projected starting lineups

Injury report

League standings