at
Padres at Mets



The Mets scratched across the go-ahead run in the first inning and made it stand up, edging the Padres despite getting outhit on the night. Bichette drove in the winning run with a single to right that scored Ewing and sent Lindor to third. New York improved to 57-69 while San Diego dropped to 67-59, and the Mets have taken the season series 3-1. The Padres head to New York on Tuesday to close things out.
Bichette singled to right in the first inning, scoring Ewing and sending Lindor to third to put the Mets ahead for good, and he finished 1-for-3 with the RBI to lead New York.
San Diego actually held the edge in hits, 7 to 5, but couldn't turn that advantage into the scoreboard.
The win pushed the Mets to 57-69 and dropped the Padres to 67-59, with New York now up 3-1 in the season series.
The Mets sit 5th in the NL East, 18 games back, coming off a loss, 6-4 over their last 10. The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Mets are up next home vs Brewers (Aug 27), then home vs Astros. The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Mets to winHit
NYM -1.5 · 53%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| NYMNew York Mets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .279 | .352 | .420 |
Jake Cronenworth | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | .227 | .312 | .303 |
Manny Machado | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | .212 | .297 | .407 |
Ty France | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .292 | .349 | .514 |
Jackson Merrill | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .244 | .295 | .415 |
Luis Campusano | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .305 | .405 | .504 |
Gavin Sheets | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .212 | .314 | .395 |
Xander Bogaerts | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .221 | .321 | .329 |
Luis Rengifo | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .245 | .324 | .326 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Walker Buehler | 6.0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 86-58 | 4.79 | 86 |
Kyle Hart | 2.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 32-18 | 4.03 | 32 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | NYM 100.0 | 3.7 | |
| T9 | NYM 96.3 | 5.5 | |
| T9 | NYM 90.8 | 7.3 | |
| B8 | NYM 83.5 | 2.7 | |
| B8 | NYM 86.2 | 2.5 | |
| B8 | NYM 88.7 | 2.7 | |
| B8 | NYM 91.4 | 2.8 | |
| B8 | NYM 88.6 | 1.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.