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Padres at Guardians



San Diego made quick work of Cleveland, riding a second-inning homer from Rengifo to a 5-0 win. Rengifo went 2-for-4 with the homer and an RBI to lead the way. The Padres out-hit the Guardians 10 to 3 and took the season series 2-1. Next up, the Padres head to face the Mets on Monday while the Guardians host the Giants on Tuesday.
Rengifo put the Padres in front for good with a 409-foot homer to center in the second inning.
San Diego backed that up by piling up 10 hits to just 3 for Cleveland.
The win pushed the Padres to 67-58 while the Guardians dropped to 60-65.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central, 2½ games back, winners of 7 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Guardians are up next home vs Royals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Padres to winHit
SD -1.5 · 51%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| CLECleveland Guardians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .280 | .355 | .423 |
Jake Cronenworth | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .222 | .306 | .298 |
Manny Machado | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .211 | .295 | .407 |
Ty France | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .291 | .348 | .516 |
Jackson Merrill | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .244 | .295 | .416 |
Luis Rengifo | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .245 | .325 | .327 |
Sung-Mun Song | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .313 | .270 |
Gavin Sheets | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .211 | .312 | .396 |
Jase Bowen | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .158 | .200 | .263 |
Xander Bogaerts | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18 | .223 | .321 | .332 |
Freddy Fermin | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .193 | .268 | .310 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Casey Mize | 6.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 86-58 | 3.18 | 86 |
Jeremiah Estrada | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20-10 | 3.38 | 20 |
Adrian Morejon | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9-5 | 2.71 | 9 |
Yuki Matsui | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19-11 | 2.25 | 19 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | SD 100.0 | 0.2 | |
| B9 | SD 99.9 | 0.6 | |
| B9 | SD 99.3 | 0.4 | |
| B9 | SD 99.7 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | SD 99.2 | — | |
| T9 | SD 99.2 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | SD 99.3 | 1.0 | |
| T9 | SD 98.3 | 0.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.