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Padres at Guardians



Campusano's fifth-inning double broke it open, and San Diego held on for a 7-5 win over Cleveland. Campusano finished 2-for-5 with three RBI, and the Padres outhit the Guardians 12-10 in the opener of this season series. San Diego moves to 66-57 while Cleveland drops to 59-64. The two clubs meet again Saturday, with the series shifting to Cleveland.
Campusano doubled to right in the fifth, scoring Cronenworth and Machado to put San Diego ahead for good, with France moving to third on the play.
Campusano paced the Padres at the plate, going 2-for-5 with three RBI.
San Diego also won the battle of the bats, out-hitting Cleveland 12 to 10.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Guardians sit 2nd in the AL Central, 2½ games back, winners of 7 straight, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Guardians are up next home vs Royals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Guardians to winMiss
CLE -1.5 · 53%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 2 |
| CLECleveland Guardians | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .280 | .353 | .425 |
Jake Cronenworth | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .222 | .309 | .289 |
Manny Machado | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .215 | .297 | .414 |
Ty France | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .298 | .353 | .528 |
Jackson Merrill | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .245 | .295 | .419 |
Luis Campusano | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .317 | .411 | .524 |
Freddy Fermin | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .194 | .272 | .317 |
Gavin Sheets | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .211 | .313 | .389 |
Sung-Mun Song | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .207 | .313 | .270 |
Xander Bogaerts | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | .223 | .320 | .333 |
Luis Rengifo | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | .241 | .323 | .314 |
Jase Bowen | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .147 | .190 | .213 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael King | 6.0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 83-59 | 3.41 | 83 |
Yuki Matsui | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-10 | 2.30 | 18 |
Jeremiah Estrada | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-13 | 3.49 | 18 |
Bradgley Rodriguez | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18-12 | 2.09 | 18 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | SD 100.0 | 5.1 | |
| B9 | SD 94.9 | 8.0 | |
| B9 | SD 86.9 | 8.0 | |
| B9 | SD 78.9 | 11.6 | |
| T9 | SD 90.5 | 0.9 | |
| T9 | SD 91.4 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | SD 91.0 | 0.6 | |
| T9 | SD 91.6 | 0.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.