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Padres at Diamondbacks



The Padres take down the Diamondbacks, securing a 5-1 victory. The go-ahead came early as Machado's double play allowed Tatis Jr. to score. Rengifo led the charge with a strong showing at the plate, while Arizona struggled with strikeouts.
The Padres beat the Diamondbacks 5-1, clinching an important game in the season series, which is now tied at 5-5. The go-ahead run came in the first inning when Machado grounded into a double play, allowing Tatis Jr. to cross the plate.
Rengifo led the Padres with a solid performance, going 3-for-5 at the plate. Despite the loss, the Diamondbacks held the edge in strikeouts, recording 10 to the Padres' 4. With this win, the Padres improve to 59-56, while the Diamondbacks fall to 61-54.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 9½ games back, winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Diamondbacks are up next at Giants (Aug 27-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.


Diamondbacks to winMiss
SD -1.5 · 50%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDSan Diego Padres | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
| ARIArizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fernando Tatis Jr. | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .280 | .350 | .403 |
Luis Rengifo | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .241 | .323 | .309 |
Jase Bowen | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .155 | .200 | .225 |
Manny Machado | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .210 | .294 | .422 |
Ty France | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .291 | .343 | .526 |
Jackson Merrill | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .241 | .292 | .396 |
Xander Bogaerts | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .227 | .323 | .327 |
Gavin Sheets | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .212 | .311 | .389 |
Freddy Fermin | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .187 | .269 | .310 |
Jake Cronenworth | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .218 | .310 | .289 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Walker Buehler | 4.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 76-47 | 5.07 | 76 |
Bradgley Rodriguez | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25-16 | 2.29 | 25 |
Jeremiah Estrada | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-7 | 3.65 | 12 |
Adrian Morejon | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16-11 | 2.95 | 16 |
Mason Miller | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17-12 | 0.74 | 17 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | SD 100.0 | 0.5 | |
| B9 | SD 99.5 | 0.4 | |
| B9 | SD 99.9 | 0.6 | |
| B9 | SD 99.3 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | SD 98.1 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | SD 98.4 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | SD 98.2 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | SD 98.7 | 0.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.