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Orioles at Rays



Tampa Bay held off Baltimore in a game the Orioles' bats couldn't quite finish. DeLuca's go-ahead single in the seventh, driving in Aranda and Diaz, proved the difference. The Orioles actually out-hit the Rays 14 to 12, but it wasn't enough to flip the result. Next up: the Orioles host the Yankees on Tuesday, while the Rays host the Blue Jays.
DeLuca's two-run single in the seventh put the Rays ahead for good, scoring Aranda and Diaz and moving Caminero to second.
Diaz led the way for Tampa Bay, going 2-for-3 with a home run and an RBI.
Baltimore outhit the Rays 14 to 12 but still fell 7-6, dropping to 61-64 as the Rays improved to 75-49; the Orioles still hold a 6-4 edge in the season series.
The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30). The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rays to winHit
TB -1.5 · 60%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 1 |
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler O'Neill | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .223 | .310 | .395 |
Pete Alonso | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .267 | .361 | .496 |
Jackson Holliday | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .244 | .341 | .380 |
Coby Mayo | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .213 | .276 | .436 |
Gunnar Henderson | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .222 | .304 | .401 |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .272 | .310 | .543 |
Dylan Beavers | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .238 | .316 | .340 |
Jeremiah Jackson | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .227 | .256 | .361 |
Leody Taveras | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .225 | .302 | .360 |
Carlos Narvaez | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .173 | .251 | .248 |
Christian Franklin | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .200 | .360 | .250 |
Colton Cowser | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .216 | .315 | .361 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Young | 4.0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 82-57 | 3.52 | 82 |
Cam Sanders | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24-17 | 5.60 | 24 |
Yennier Cano | 0.0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-9 | 3.27 | 15 |
Josh Walker | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11-8 | 2.81 | 11 |
Rico Garcia | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19-11 | 3.42 | 19 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | TB 100.0 | 7.9 | |
| T9 | TB 92.1 | 4.2 | |
| T9 | TB 96.3 | 5.5 | |
| T9 | TB 90.8 | 7.3 | |
| B8 | TB 83.5 | 2.3 | |
| B8 | TB 85.8 | 2.2 | |
| B8 | TB 88.0 | 2.5 | |
| B8 | TB 88.6 | 1.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.