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Orioles at Rays



Baltimore put this one away early and never let Tampa Bay back in it, cruising to a 10-2 win. Cowser led the way going 2-for-5 with a home run and 2 RBI, and the go-ahead damage came in the 5th when Alonso doubled home Holliday and Mayo. The Orioles improved to 61-63 while the Rays dropped to 74-49, and Baltimore now leads the season series 6-3. Up next, the Orioles head to Tampa Bay to face the Rays on Monday.
The Orioles rolled past the Rays 10-2.
The go-ahead came in the 5th inning when Alonso doubled to left, scoring Holliday and Mayo.
Cowser led Baltimore going 2-for-5 with a home run and 2 RBI, while the Rays held the edge in strikeouts 10 to 7.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10. The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30). The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rays to winMiss
TB -1.5 · 57%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson Holliday | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .245 | .344 | .385 |
Pete Alonso | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .266 | .361 | .490 |
Christian Franklin | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .111 | .304 | .167 |
Gunnar Henderson | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .220 | .303 | .399 |
Jeremiah Jackson | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .231 | .260 | .367 |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .250 | .293 | .500 |
Dylan Beavers | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .238 | .316 | .340 |
Leody Taveras | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .226 | .303 | .361 |
Colton Cowser | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | .217 | .317 | .364 |
Coby Mayo | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .210 | .274 | .423 |
Yohel Pozo | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .255 | .265 | .340 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor Rogers | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 98-73 | 4.15 | 98 |
Alex Hoppe | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-9 | 5.01 | 13 |
Grant Wolfram | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-12 | 5.59 | 17 |
Albert Suarez | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-11 | 4.06 | 15 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | BAL 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | BAL 99.9 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.