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Orioles at Rays



O'Neill's 10th-inning single brought home Cowser as the Orioles outlasted the Rays 4-3. Alonso paced Baltimore going 3-for-5 with a homer and an RBI, though both sides left plenty on base, with the Rays stranding 12 runners to the Orioles' 9. The Orioles have now won the season series 5-3. The two clubs meet again Sunday, with Baltimore visiting Tampa Bay.
O'Neill delivered the go-ahead single in the 10th, scoring Cowser to give the Orioles the 4-3 win.
Alonso led the way for Baltimore, going 3-for-5 with a homer and an RBI.
The Orioles improved to 60-63 while the Rays dropped to 74-48, with Baltimore leaving 9 runners on base and Tampa Bay stranding 12.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10. The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30). The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rays to winMiss
TB -1.5 · 59%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler O'Neill | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .219 | .309 | .395 |
Yohel Pozo | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .244 | .341 |
Pete Alonso | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | .264 | .356 | .487 |
Jackson Holliday | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | .240 | .339 | .377 |
Coby Mayo | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | .208 | .271 | .424 |
Dylan Beavers | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | .244 | .323 | .348 |
Gunnar Henderson | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | .221 | .303 | .402 |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .254 | .299 | .507 |
Christian Franklin | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | .118 | .318 | .176 |
Leody Taveras | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .226 | .301 | .363 |
Carlos Narvaez | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .175 | .247 | .250 |
Colton Cowser | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .316 | .351 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Bradish | 6.0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 93-52 | 3.65 | 93 |
Alex Hoppe | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-5 | 5.17 | 8 |
Josh Walker | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3-2 | 3.00 | 3 |
Rico Garcia | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-8 | 3.48 | 12 |
Andrew Kittredge | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21-15 | 3.62 | 21 |
Cam Sanders | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20-12 | 6.32 | 20 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B10 | BAL 100.0 | 17.6 | |
| B10 | BAL 82.4 | 16.7 | |
| B10 | BAL 65.7 | 5.3 | |
| B10 | BAL 71.0 | 15.8 | |
| T10 | BAL 55.2 | 11.3 | |
| T10 | BAL 66.5 | 2.1 | |
| T10 | BAL 64.4 | 12.9 | |
| T10 | BAL 77.3 | 1.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.