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Orioles at Rangers



The Rangers take a narrow victory over the Orioles, thanks to a pivotal sixth-inning homer. Pederson's blast provided the go-ahead run, pushing Texas ahead in the season series. Despite holding the hit advantage, Baltimore couldn't convert opportunities into runs.
The Rangers edged the Orioles 2-1 in a tightly contested game. The go-ahead came in the sixth inning when Pederson homered to right, scoring Díaz in the process. Although Baltimore held the edge in hits, the Rangers improved to 57-58, while the Orioles fell to 56-59, with Texas leading the season series 3-1.
The Rangers sit 2nd in the AL West, 0½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10. The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Rangers are up next at Brewers (Aug 28-30). The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rangers to winHit
TEX -1.5 · 57%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| TEXTexas Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .217 | .297 | .391 |
Pete Alonso | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .247 | .341 | .454 |
Jackson Holliday | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .234 | .341 | .360 |
Tyler O'Neill | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 26 | .217 | .305 | .402 |
Dylan Beavers | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | .246 | .329 | .344 |
Jeremiah Jackson | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .239 | .265 | .378 |
Leody Taveras | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .224 | .305 | .352 |
Coby Mayo | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .205 | .270 | .425 |
Colton Cowser | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .205 | .311 | .321 |
Christian Franklin | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .125 | .222 | .250 |
Carlos Narvaez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .184 | .259 | .268 |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .245 | .315 | .490 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shane Baz | 8.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 93-66 | 3.76 | 93 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | TEX 100.0 | 11.6 | |
| T9 | TEX 88.4 | 5.9 | |
| T9 | TEX 82.5 | 10.7 | |
| T9 | TEX 71.8 | 11.7 | |
| B8 | TEX 83.5 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | TEX 84.3 | 1.0 | |
| B8 | TEX 85.3 | 1.4 | |
| T8 | TEX 86.7 | 5.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.