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Orioles at Cardinals



St. Louis Cardinals beat Orioles 7–5.
Top bat: Ramón Urías (STL) — 1-for-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 2 R, 1 BB.
On the mound: Gordon Graceffo (STL) — 3.0 IP, 4 K, 0 ER.
Hardest ball of the day: Leody Taveras, 111.3 mph.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10. The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals are up next home vs Orioles (Aug 27), then home vs Pirates. The Orioles are up next at Cardinals (Aug 27), then at Athletics.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



BAL -1.5 · 54%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson Holliday | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .235 | .322 | .359 |
Pete Alonso | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | .274 | .362 | .512 |
Gunnar Henderson | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .219 | .301 | .391 |
Samuel Basallo | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .233 | .297 | .434 |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .273 | .308 | .527 |
Dylan Beavers | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .248 | .331 | .391 |
Coby Mayo | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .213 | .275 | .441 |
Colton Cowser | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .225 | .318 | .373 |
Leody Taveras | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .226 | .296 | .359 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trevor Rogers | 5.0 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 86-60 | 4.38 | 86 |
Cam Sanders | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 37-22 | 5.48 | 37 |
Anthony Nunez | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21-12 | 4.41 | 21 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | STL 100.0 | 3.9 | |
| T9 | STL 96.4 | 2.4 | |
| T9 | STL 98.8 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | STL 96.3 | 3.9 | |
| B8 | STL 92.4 | 0.7 | |
| B8 | STL 93.1 | 7.3 | |
| B8 | STL 85.0 | 0.7 | |
| B8 | STL 84.3 | 1.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.