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Orioles at CardinalsBaltimore
Orioles
St. Louis
Cardinals
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atOrioles at CardinalsOrioles edge Cardinals 8-7, riding a ninth-inning double from Encarnacion-Strand that plated Vázquez for the go-ahead run. Encarnacion-Strand carried the offense, going 4-for-5 with 2 RBI. Baltimore heads to St. Louis Thursday, with the Cardinals returning the visit later that same day.
Orioles out-hit the Cardinals 13 to 11, the extra contact adding up in a game decided by one run.
Baltimore moves to 65-68 on the year while St. Louis slips to 66-68.
The win gives the Orioles a 2-0 edge in the season series.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10. The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30). The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Orioles to winHitBAL -1.5 · 51%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jackson Holliday | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .231 | .319 | .352 |
 Pete Alonso | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .276 | .365 | .516 |
 Gunnar Henderson | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .218 | .302 | .390 |
 Samuel Basallo | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .236 | .301 | .439 |
 Luis Vazquez | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 |
 Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .264 | .301 | .519 |
 Dylan Beavers | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .250 | .328 | .395 |
 Leody Taveras | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .228 | .299 | .363 |
 Colton Cowser | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .223 | .318 | .374 |
 Carlos Narvaez | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .167 | .245 | .242 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kyle Bradish | 4.1 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 91-64 | 4.03 | 91 |
 Alex Hoppe | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12-7 | 4.58 | 12 |
 Josh Walker | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11-7 | 2.45 | 11 |
 Rico Garcia | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 26-15 | 3.16 | 26 |
 Grant Wolfram | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26-14 | 5.05 | 26 |
 Andrew Kittredge | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25-15 | 3.35 | 25 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | BAL 100.0 | 24.2 | |
| B9 | BAL 75.8 | 10.1 | |
| B9 | BAL 65.7 | 5.3 | |
| B9 | BAL 71.0 | 4.9 | |
| B9 | BAL 66.1 | 13.5 | |
| T9 | BAL 79.6 | 3.4 | |
| T9 | BAL 83.0 | 2.2 | |
| T9 | BAL 85.2 | 3.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
