at
Orioles at Cardinals



Orioles rolled past the Cardinals 13-1, and Alonso did the heaviest lifting, going 4-for-4 with a homer and four RBIs. His go-ahead shot in the third, a 435-foot drive to left center, plated Taveras and Holliday and put Baltimore in front for good. Orioles head to St. Louis Wednesday for the second game of the season series.
Baltimore also won the hits battle comfortably, finishing with 16 to St. Louis' 7.
The win moved the Orioles to 64-68 while the Cardinals slipped to 66-67.
It was the first meeting between the two clubs this season, and the Orioles now lead that series 1-0.
The Orioles sit 5th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a loss, 4-6 over their last 10. The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Orioles are up next at Athletics (Aug 28-30). The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cardinals to winMiss
STL -1.5 · 54%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALBaltimore Orioles | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jackson Holliday | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .236 | .325 | .360 |
Pete Alonso | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .276 | .364 | .512 |
Carlos Narvaez | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .169 | .244 | .244 |
Gunnar Henderson | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | .219 | .302 | .392 |
Coby Mayo | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | .212 | .275 | .434 |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .238 | .278 | .485 |
Samuel Basallo | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | .233 | .296 | .439 |
Christian Franklin | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .172 | .351 | .241 |
Dylan Beavers | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | .246 | .323 | .388 |
Leody Taveras | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .228 | .300 | .357 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Bassitt | 6.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 99-71 | 4.74 | 99 |
Yennier Cano | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5-2 | 3.21 | 5 |
Anthony Nunez | 2.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 27-23 | 4.31 | 27 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | BAL 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | BAL 99.9 | — | |
| B8 | BAL 99.9 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.