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Nationals at Marlins



Miami got exactly what it needed in the first inning, and that was enough to hold off Washington. Lopez singled home two runs to put the Marlins ahead for good, and Marsee backed it up with a homer in a 2-for-4 night. Miami out-hit Washington 7-3 and moved to 66-64, dropping the Nationals to 61-70 while taking the season series 7-1. The two clubs meet again Sunday, with Washington visiting Miami.
Lopez singled to right in the first inning, driving in Conine and Caissie to give Miami a lead it never gave back.
Marsee led the Marlins at the plate, going 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI.
Miami out-hit Washington 7-3 on the night, improving to 66-64 while the Nationals fell to 61-70.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Nationals sit 4th in the NL East, 16½ games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30). The Nationals are up next home vs Marlins (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winHit
MIA -1.5 · 63%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSHWashington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| MIAMiami Marlins | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daylen Lile | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | .242 | .290 | .400 |
Dylan Crews | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .210 | .280 | .355 |
Brady House | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .235 | .296 | .391 |
Abimelec Ortiz | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .228 | .267 | .526 |
Harry Ford | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .200 | .313 | .400 |
Jorbit Vivas | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .231 | .320 | .311 |
Jose Tena | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .238 | .319 | .396 |
Jacob Young | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | .246 | .312 | .395 |
Nasim Nunez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .223 | .305 | .258 |
Andrew Pinckney | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .250 | .316 | .563 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Irvin | 6.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 104-68 | 5.82 | 104 |
| Erik Tolman | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16-10 | 0.00 | 16 |
Jake Bird | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-10 | 5.65 | 13 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | MIA 100.0 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | MIA 98.8 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | MIA 96.3 | 3.9 | |
| B8 | MIA 92.4 | 0.3 | |
| B8 | MIA 92.7 | 0.5 | |
| B8 | MIA 93.2 | 0.6 | |
| T8 | MIA 93.8 | 1.3 | |
| T8 | MIA 92.5 | 2.5 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.