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Marlins at Reds



Miami pulled away from Cincinnati behind Sanoja's big night at the plate, breaking a tight game open with an eighth-inning homer. The Marlins outhit the Reds and moved to 64-61 while Cincinnati dropped to 59-64. Miami also took the season series 4-3. Next up, the Marlins visit the Phillies Monday while the Reds host the Cardinals.
Hernández put the game away in the eighth, homering to left on a 359-foot shot that gave Miami the lead for good.
Sanoja led the way for the Marlins, going 1-for-4 with a home run and three RBI.
Miami finished with eight hits to Cincinnati's four, improving to 64-61 as the Reds fell to 59-64.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30). The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winHit
MIA -1.5 · 54%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Otto Lopez | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | .308 | .341 | .452 |
Heriberto Hernandez | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .231 | .308 | .459 |
Agustin Ramirez | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .243 | .329 | .353 |
Xavier Edwards | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | .284 | .365 | .385 |
Javier Sanoja | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | .270 | .310 | .410 |
Leo Jimenez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .207 | .301 | .276 |
Griffin Conine | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .273 | .371 | .553 |
Graham Pauley | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .194 | .228 | .306 |
Esteury Ruiz | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | .250 | .373 | .464 |
Jakob Marsee | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | .209 | .325 | .317 |
Brian Navarreto | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .087 | .192 | .130 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eury Perez | 6.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100-63 | 3.23 | 100 |
Josh Ekness | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-8 | 1.64 | 12 |
Michael Petersen | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14-8 | 2.98 | 14 |
Tyler Zuber | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-8 | 3.33 | 13 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | MIA 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | MIA 99.9 | 0.7 | |
| B9 | MIA 99.2 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | MIA 99.7 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | MIA 99.8 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | MIA 99.7 | — | |
| T9 | MIA 99.7 | — | |
| T9 | MIA 99.7 | 3.1 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.