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Marlins at Reds



Miami broke it open in the eighth when Hernández singled home Ramírez and Ruiz to seize control. Marsee put on a show at the plate, going 4-for-4 with a homer and an RBI. The Marlins outhit the Reds 14 to 8 in the 8-4 win, moving to 63-61 while Cincinnati dropped to 59-63 and the season series knotted up at 3-3. The two clubs meet again Sunday, with Miami visiting Cincinnati.
Hernández's eighth-inning single to right plated Ramírez and Ruiz, with Edwards moving to third, and that was the difference in Miami's 8-4 win over Cincinnati.
Marsee carried the offense all night, going 4-for-4 with a homer and an RBI, and the Marlins backed him up by outhitting the Reds 14 to 8.
The win pushed Miami to 63-61 while Cincinnati fell to 59-63, evening the season series at 3-3.
The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30). The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winHit
MIA -1.5 · 49%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 1 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jakob Marsee | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .212 | .326 | .320 |
Agustin Ramirez | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .237 | .327 | .344 |
Javier Sanoja | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .270 | .309 | .402 |
Xavier Edwards | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .284 | .362 | .386 |
Heriberto Hernandez | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | .230 | .303 | .450 |
Griffin Conine | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .273 | .368 | .553 |
Otto Lopez | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | .308 | .340 | .453 |
Owen Caissie | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | .228 | .293 | .436 |
Joe Mack | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .240 | .297 | .434 |
Graham Pauley | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .196 | .230 | .308 |
Esteury Ruiz | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .252 | .378 | .474 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ryan Gusto | 4.2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 70-53 | 4.70 | 70 |
Calvin Faucher | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16-11 | 4.15 | 16 |
Tyler Zuber | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23-17 | 3.47 | 23 |
Michael Petersen | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14-9 | 2.86 | 14 |
Pete Fairbanks | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 13-9 | 5.87 | 13 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | MIA 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | MIA 99.9 | 0.6 | |
| B9 | MIA 99.3 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | MIA 98.1 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | MIA 98.4 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | MIA 98.7 | 1.8 | |
| T9 | MIA 96.9 | 0.7 | |
| T9 | MIA 97.1 | 0.5 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.