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Marlins at Reds



Cincinnati scratched across a single sixth-inning run and made it stand up, edging Miami 1-0. Suárez doubled home Stephenson for the only run either side would need. The Marlins piled up strikeouts all night and had nothing to show for it. Miami heads to Cincinnati Saturday for the next installment of this series.
Suárez doubled to center in the sixth, scoring Stephenson and giving Cincinnati the lead for good in a 1-0 win.
Suárez paced the Reds offense, going 1-for-4 with the game's lone RBI.
Miami struck out 11 times to Cincinnati's 3, and the Marlins had little to answer with at the plate.
The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10. The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30). The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winMiss
MIA -1.5 · 48%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jakob Marsee | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .204 | .320 | .305 |
Xavier Edwards | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .282 | .361 | .385 |
Otto Lopez | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .312 | .344 | .458 |
Griffin Conine | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | .274 | .367 | .561 |
Heriberto Hernandez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .226 | .299 | .449 |
Javier Sanoja | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .271 | .310 | .403 |
Owen Caissie | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .227 | .288 | .433 |
Leo Jimenez | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | .204 | .301 | .275 |
Joe Mack | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .231 | .291 | .417 |
Esteury Ruiz | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .258 | .377 | .485 |
Graham Pauley | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .194 | .231 | .301 |
Agustin Ramirez | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .237 | .322 | .344 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sandy Alcantara | 7.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 103-67 | 3.43 | 103 |
Josh Ekness | 1.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23-15 | 1.80 | 23 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | CIN 100.0 | 3.7 | |
| T9 | CIN 96.3 | 5.5 | |
| T9 | CIN 90.8 | 7.3 | |
| B8 | CIN 83.5 | 4.2 | |
| B8 | CIN 87.7 | 1.5 | |
| B8 | CIN 86.2 | 2.5 | |
| B8 | CIN 88.7 | 2.0 | |
| B8 | CIN 86.7 | 1.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.