at
Marlins at Phillies



Arraez did the heavy lifting, going 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI as the Phillies knocked off the Marlins 4-1. The go-ahead run came in the second, when Stubbs' infield single to short plated Arraez and moved runners into scoring position. Miami struck out ten times against one for Philadelphia, a lopsided number that told the story of the night.
The Phillies beat the Marlins 4-1, improving to 70-58 while Miami dropped to 64-64.
The go-ahead run scored in the second inning when Stubbs' infield single to shortstop brought home Arraez, with Crawford moving to second and Marsh to third.
Arraez led Philadelphia at the plate, going 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBI, and the Phillies now lead the season series 8-5.
The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 4½ games back, coming off a win, 8-2 over their last 10. The Marlins sit 3rd in the NL East, 10½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Phillies are up next at Angels (Aug 28-30). The Marlins are up next at Nationals (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Marlins to winMiss
PHI -1.5 · 57%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIAMiami Marlins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| PHIPhiladelphia Phillies | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jakob Marsee | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .205 | .322 | .311 |
Otto Lopez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .308 | .344 | .449 |
Xavier Edwards | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | .288 | .367 | .386 |
Griffin Conine | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | .272 | .364 | .549 |
Heriberto Hernandez | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .229 | .305 | .448 |
Owen Caissie | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .222 | .286 | .424 |
Esteury Ruiz | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | .250 | .367 | .453 |
Joe Mack | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .236 | .292 | .427 |
Javier Sanoja | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .278 | .317 | .425 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sandy Alcantara | 6.0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 97-68 | 3.46 | 97 |
John King | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17-11 | 3.99 | 17 |
Victor Vodnik | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-11 | 5.02 | 14 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | PHI 100.0 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | PHI 98.8 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | PHI 96.3 | 3.8 | |
| T9 | PHI 92.5 | 4.1 | |
| B8 | PHI 96.6 | 0.1 | |
| B8 | PHI 96.7 | 0.3 | |
| B8 | PHI 97.0 | 0.2 | |
| T8 | PHI 97.2 | 4.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.