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Cubs at Royals



The Royals take down the Cubs with a strong offensive showing, led by Caglianone. He powered the Royals with two home runs and four RBIs, including a go-ahead blast in the first inning. With this win, Kansas City ties the season series at one game apiece.
Royals beat Cubs 6-3, showcasing an impressive offensive performance.
The go-ahead came in the 1st inning when Caglianone homered to center, traveling 448 feet.
Caglianone led the Royals with a standout game, going 4-for-4 with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs.
The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 11½ games back, coming off a loss, 9-1 over their last 10. The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Royals are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 27), then at Guardians. The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cubs to winMiss
CHC -1.5 · 59%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCChicago Cubs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| KCKansas City Royals | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .287 | .388 | .545 |
Seiya Suzuki | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .269 | .361 | .470 |
Michael Busch | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .244 | .356 | .391 |
Alex Bregman | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .246 | .337 | .379 |
Ian Happ | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .212 | .322 | .411 |
Nico Hoerner | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .257 | .317 | .359 |
Carson Kelly | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .265 | .350 | .382 |
Michael Conforto | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .231 | .327 | .457 |
Dansby Swanson | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .213 | .291 | .398 |
Tyrone Taylor | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | .242 | .297 | .490 |
Pedro Ramirez | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .297 | .352 | .441 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Clay Holmes | 4.0 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 70-44 | 2.86 | 70 |
Colin Rea | 4.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 63-37 | 4.59 | 63 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | KC 100.0 | 1.3 | |
| T9 | KC 98.7 | 2.8 | |
| T9 | KC 95.9 | 4.1 | |
| T9 | KC 91.8 | 4.8 | |
| B8 | KC 96.6 | 0.6 | |
| B8 | KC 97.2 | 0.3 | |
| B8 | KC 97.5 | 0.6 | |
| B8 | KC 97.7 | 0.5 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.