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Cubs at Royals



The Cubs secure a 6-4 victory over the Royals, showcasing strong offensive plays and capitalizing on defensive errors. The go-ahead runs came in the second inning, shifting the momentum. With this win, Chicago improves its record to 67-49, while Kansas City slips to 48-68.
The Cubs defeated the Royals 6-4, taking control early in the game. The go-ahead came in the second inning when Crow-Armstrong's infield single allowed Kelly to score, and Ramirez followed on a throwing error by Massey, with Swanson reaching third on the play. P.
The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10. The Royals sit 5th in the AL Central, 11½ games back, coming off a loss, 9-1 over their last 10.
The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30). The Royals are up next at Blue Jays (Aug 27), then at Guardians.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cubs to winHit
CHC -1.5 · 61%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCChicago Cubs | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| KCKansas City Royals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .289 | .388 | .549 |
Seiya Suzuki | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | .272 | .364 | .475 |
Alex Bregman | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .248 | .339 | .383 |
Michael Busch | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .244 | .356 | .392 |
Nico Hoerner | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .257 | .318 | .359 |
Ian Happ | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | .209 | .320 | .400 |
Carson Kelly | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .265 | .351 | .379 |
Pedro Ramirez | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .300 | .355 | .445 |
Dansby Swanson | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .216 | .293 | .403 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Gausman | 7.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 96-66 | 4.29 | 96 |
Caleb Thielbar | 0.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 5.30 | 13 |
Trent Thornton | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14-7 | 2.72 | 14 |
Jacob Webb | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13-9 | 2.44 | 13 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | CHC 100.0 | 1.5 | |
| B9 | CHC 98.5 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | CHC 95.3 | 4.8 | |
| T9 | CHC 90.5 | 0.9 | |
| T9 | CHC 91.4 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | CHC 91.0 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | CHC 93.5 | 1.1 | |
| B8 | CHC 92.4 | 8.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.