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Cubs at Diamondbacks



Cubs shut out Arizona behind Conforto's big night, cruising to a 7-0 win and pushing the season series lead to 4-0. Ramirez's second-inning triple plated Happ for the go-ahead run, and Chicago never let up from there. Next up, the two clubs meet again Tuesday.
Ramirez tripled to right in the second inning to score Happ, and the Cubs never trailed again.
Conforto led the way at the plate, going 3-for-3 with a homer and two RBI.
Chicago out-hit Arizona 10-5, improving to 76-56 while the Diamondbacks dropped to 69-63.
The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10. The Diamondbacks sit 3rd in the NL West, 9½ games back, winners of 2 straight, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30). The Diamondbacks are up next at Giants (Aug 27-29).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cubs to winHit
CHC -1.5 · 57%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHCChicago Cubs | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| ARIArizona Diamondbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pete Crow-Armstrong | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .278 | .376 | .554 |
Seiya Suzuki | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .269 | .362 | .478 |
Michael Busch | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | .243 | .353 | .393 |
Alex Bregman | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .256 | .345 | .418 |
Ian Happ | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .220 | .328 | .422 |
Nico Hoerner | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .262 | .320 | .359 |
Pedro Ramirez | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .290 | .347 | .439 |
Michael Conforto | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | .232 | .326 | .473 |
Carson Kelly | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .262 | .343 | .379 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Gausman | 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 94-67 | 4.37 | 94 |
Ryan Zeferjahn | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10-8 | 3.99 | 10 |
Caleb Thielbar | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22-15 | 5.09 | 22 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | CHC 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | CHC 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | CHC 99.9 | — | |
| B9 | CHC 99.9 | 0.3 | |
| B9 | CHC 99.6 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | CHC 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | CHC 99.9 | — | |
| T9 | CHC 99.9 | — |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.