at
Cardinals at Reds



St. Louis stole this one late. A fielding error by Reds center fielder Myers in the ninth let Fermín and Winn score, and Wetherholt eventually came around too as the Cardinals escaped with a 10-9 win. J. Walker did his damage early, going deep and driving in four. Cardinals visit the Phillies Friday, while the Reds head to Arizona.
The Cardinals took the lead for good in the ninth inning when a fielding error by Reds center fielder Myers allowed Wetherholt to reach first, with Fermín and Winn scoring on the play, and Wetherholt later moved to second on another error.
J. Walker led the Cardinals offense, going 1-for-4 with a home run and four RBI.
The Reds out-struck the Cardinals 9 to 6, but it wasn't enough as St. Louis improved to 66-63 while Cincinnati fell to 61-67, with the Cardinals now leading the season series 8-5.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10. The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30). The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cardinals to winHit
STL -1.5 · 51%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 2 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Wetherholt | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | .243 | .348 | .373 |
Ivan Herrera | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 24 | .244 | .361 | .384 |
Alec Burleson | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .288 | .355 | .489 |
Jordan Walker | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | .288 | .348 | .506 |
Joshua Baez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | .160 | .267 | .520 |
Pedro Pages | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .210 | .256 | .317 |
Nathan Church | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .235 | .280 | .355 |
Jose Fermin | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .248 | .322 | .366 |
Bryan Torres | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .237 | .302 | .386 |
Masyn Winn | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | .238 | .314 | .326 |
Blaze Jordan | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .243 | .271 | .367 |
Jimmy Crooks | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .174 | .252 | .314 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael McGreevy | 5.1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 90-51 | 3.54 | 90 |
Ryne Stanek | 0.2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19-12 | 4.68 | 19 |
Peter Strzelecki | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31-17 | 3.29 | 31 |
George Soriano | 0.2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25-11 | 4.18 | 25 |
Riley O'Brien | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15-5 | 2.94 | 15 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | STL 100.0 | 28.2 | |
| B9 | STL 71.8 | 10.2 | |
| B9 | STL 82.0 | 8.3 | |
| B9 | STL 90.3 | 4.9 | |
| B9 | STL 95.2 | 3.4 | |
| B9 | STL 98.6 | 1.0 | |
| B9 | STL 99.6 | 1.5 | |
| B9 | STL 98.1 | 1.2 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.