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Cardinals at Reds



Stewart's three-run homer in the sixth put Cincinnati ahead for good, and the Reds held on to edge St. Louis 5-4. The Cardinals actually out-hit the Reds 9-7 but couldn't cash it in when it mattered. Cincinnati climbs to 61-66 while St. Louis slips to 65-63, though the Cardinals still hold a 7-5 edge in the season series. St. Louis hosts Cincinnati Thursday, with the Reds welcoming them right back for the return leg.
Stewart broke it open in the sixth with a 422-foot homer to center that scored McLain and De La Cruz, putting Cincinnati ahead for good in a 5-4 win.
Stewart finished 1-for-3 with the homer and 3 RBI, doing all the damage the Reds needed.
St. Louis actually outhit Cincinnati 9-7 on the night, but the Cardinals fell to 65-63 while the Reds improved to 61-66.
The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10. The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30). The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cardinals to winMiss
CIN -1.5 · 56%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Wetherholt | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | .243 | .348 | .374 |
Ivan Herrera | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | .244 | .359 | .384 |
Alec Burleson | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .289 | .354 | .491 |
Jordan Walker | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | .288 | .347 | .502 |
Nathan Church | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .235 | .279 | .355 |
Jose Fermin | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .242 | .317 | .360 |
Masyn Winn | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 | .239 | .315 | .327 |
Bryan Torres | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .234 | .295 | .387 |
Joshua Baez | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .182 | .240 | .591 |
Blaze Jordan | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | .248 | .277 | .376 |
Jimmy Crooks | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .176 | .250 | .319 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Liberatore | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 100-65 | 5.04 | 100 |
Luis Gastelum | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12-8 | 5.49 | 12 |
Justin Bruihl | 1.0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29-16 | 3.50 | 29 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | CIN 100.0 | 13.1 | |
| T9 | CIN 88.4 | 7.9 | |
| T9 | CIN 96.3 | 2.4 | |
| T9 | CIN 98.7 | 2.4 | |
| T9 | CIN 96.3 | 3.8 | |
| T9 | CIN 92.5 | 4.1 | |
| B8 | CIN 96.6 | 0.9 | |
| B8 | CIN 97.5 | 0.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.