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Cardinals at Reds



Winn's fifth-inning homer put the Cardinals in front for good, and St. Louis made it stand up behind a 7-3 edge in hits for a 3-0 win over Cincinnati. Winn finished 3-for-4 with the homer and an RBI to lead all hitters. The Cardinals improve to 65-62 and now lead the season series 7-4. St. Louis and Cincinnati meet again Wednesday, this time in Cincinnati.
Winn broke it open in the fifth with a 368-foot homer to left, and that was the difference in a 3-0 Cardinals win over the Reds.
Winn led all hitters going 3-for-4 with the homer and an RBI, while St. Louis held a 7-3 edge in hits for the game.
The win moves the Cardinals to 65-62 and drops the Reds to 60-66, with St. Louis now ahead 7-4 in the season series.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10. The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30). The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cardinals to winHit
STL -1.5 · 52%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Wetherholt | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | .241 | .346 | .371 |
Ivan Herrera | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .246 | .361 | .388 |
Jordan Walker | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | .289 | .347 | .498 |
Alec Burleson | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .289 | .354 | .493 |
Joshua Baez | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .143 | .174 | .571 |
Nathan Church | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .279 | .355 |
Blaze Jordan | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .247 | .272 | .377 |
Masyn Winn | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .241 | .316 | .330 |
Jose Fermin | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | .239 | .316 | .355 |
Everson Pereira | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .305 | .447 |
Pedro Pages | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | .210 | .256 | .317 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Leahy | 5.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 90-57 | 3.24 | 90 |
Ryne Stanek | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-5 | 4.38 | 7 |
Gordon Graceffo | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15-8 | 3.16 | 15 |
George Soriano | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15-12 | 3.58 | 15 |
Riley O'Brien | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 2.96 | 13 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | STL 100.0 | 0.5 | |
| B9 | STL 99.5 | 1.3 | |
| B9 | STL 98.2 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | STL 95.7 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | STL 95.9 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | STL 96.2 | 0.4 | |
| B8 | STL 96.6 | 0.9 | |
| B8 | STL 95.7 | 1.7 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.