at
Cardinals at RedsSt. Louis
Cardinals
Cincinnati
Reds
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atCardinals at RedsSt. Louis got all the offense it needed in the first inning and made it stand up. Burleson doubled home Herrera and Báez to set the tone, and the Cardinals held on for a 2-1 win despite getting outstruck in the strikeout column. St. Louis improves to 64-61 while Cincinnati drops to 59-65, with the Cardinals now up 6-3 in the season series.
Burleson's double to right in the first inning brought home Herrera and Báez, and that was the difference in a 2-1 Cardinals win.
Burleson finished 2-for-4 with both Cardinals RBI, doing the heaviest lifting in the win.
Cincinnati struck out 15 times to St. Louis's 9, but the Reds couldn't turn that edge into a result, falling to 59-65 as the Cardinals moved to 64-61.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10. The Reds sit 5th in the NL Central, 19½ games back, coming off a win, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30). The Reds are up next at Cubs (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Cardinals to winHitSTL -1.5 · 51%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| CINCincinnati Reds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Joshua Baez | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .231 | .286 | .923 |
 Nathan Church | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .233 | .278 | .355 |
 Ivan Herrera | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 36 | .248 | .363 | .386 |
 Jordan Walker | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .286 | .345 | .497 |
 Alec Burleson | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | .290 | .356 | .496 |
 Jose Fermin | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .239 | .311 | .352 |
 Jimmy Crooks | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .183 | .258 | .330 |
 Masyn Winn | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .236 | .312 | .315 |
 Blaze Jordan | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | .253 | .279 | .390 |
 Everson Pereira | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | .237 | .308 | .452 |
 Pedro Pages | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .207 | .250 | .317 |
 JJ Wetherholt | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .242 | .348 | .375 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Quinn Mathews | 4.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 95-55 | 3.00 | 95 |
 Luis Gastelum | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11-9 | 5.79 | 11 |
 Gordon Graceffo | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8-8 | 3.21 | 8 |
 George Soriano | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-10 | 3.64 | 12 |
 Ryne Stanek | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-9 | 4.47 | 17 |
 Riley O'Brien | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14-11 | 3.02 | 14 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | STL 100.0 | 4.7 | |
| B9 | STL 95.3 | 6.8 | |
| B9 | STL 88.5 | 8.9 | |
| T9 | STL 79.6 | 1.0 | |
| T9 | STL 80.6 | 1.3 | |
| T9 | STL 81.9 | 1.6 | |
| B8 | STL 83.5 | 10.2 | |
| B8 | STL 73.3 | 7.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
