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Cardinals at Cubs



Baez did just about everything for St. Louis, going 3-for-4 with three homers and five RBI as the Cardinals outslugged Chicago 8-4. The go-ahead blast came in the 4th when Baez sent one 382 feet to left. Cardinals took the long-ball battle 5-1 and the season series is now tied at 6-6. St. Louis heads to Chicago for the finale on Sunday.
Baez went 3-for-4 with three home runs and five RBI to lead the Cardinals past the Cubs 8-4.
His go-ahead homer came in the 4th inning, a 382-foot shot to left.
The Cardinals out-homered the Cubs 5-1, improving to 62-61 while Chicago dropped to 72-52.
The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central, 16 games back, coming off a win, 3-7 over their last 10. The Cubs sit 2nd in the NL Central, 6½ games back, losers of 2 straight, 4-6 over their last 10.
The Cardinals are up next home vs Pirates (Aug 28-30). The Cubs are up next home vs Reds (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Cardinals to winHit
CHC -1.5 · 63%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STLSt. Louis Cardinals | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| CHCChicago Cubs | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JJ Wetherholt | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | .241 | .347 | .373 |
Ivan Herrera | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .248 | .360 | .388 |
Jordan Walker | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .280 | .339 | .482 |
Alec Burleson | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .285 | .353 | .484 |
Joshua Baez | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | .750 | .750 | 3.000 |
Masyn Winn | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .238 | .313 | .319 |
Blaze Jordan | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | .247 | .269 | .377 |
Everson Pereira | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .236 | .310 | .461 |
Pedro Pages | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | .210 | .253 | .321 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael McGreevy | 6.0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 102-61 | 3.48 | 102 |
Justin Bruihl | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-12 | 3.26 | 15 |
Ryne Stanek | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13-9 | 4.56 | 13 |
Riley O'Brien | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-8 | 3.08 | 14 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | STL 100.0 | 0.1 | |
| B9 | STL 99.9 | 0.6 | |
| B9 | STL 99.3 | 1.2 | |
| T9 | STL 98.1 | 0.3 | |
| T9 | STL 98.4 | 0.1 | |
| T9 | STL 98.5 | 0.2 | |
| T9 | STL 98.7 | 0.2 | |
| B8 | STL 98.5 | 0.4 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.