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Brewers at Padres



In a close contest, the Padres edged the Brewers 3-2, with a pivotal homer from Merrill in the seventh inning. T. France led the way for San Diego, going 2-for-3 with a homer and an RBI. The season series is now tied at two games apiece as the Padres improve to 63-57 and the Brewers drop to 74-45.
The Padres edged the Brewers 3-2 in a tightly contested matchup. The go-ahead run came in the seventh inning when Merrill homered to center, scoring France. Despite the Brewers holding the edge in hits, the Padres secured the victory and evened the season series at 2-2.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Brewers lead the NL Central by 6½, coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Brewers are up next at Mets (Aug 27), then home vs Rangers.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Brewers to winMiss
MIL -1.5 · 53%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MILMilwaukee Brewers | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brice Turang | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | .268 | .360 | .451 |
Jackson Chourio | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .280 | .343 | .483 |
Jake Bauers | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .271 | .375 | .506 |
Andrew Vaughn | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .294 | .384 | .461 |
Garrett Mitchell | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24 | .253 | .352 | .410 |
William Contreras | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | .263 | .331 | .386 |
Brandon Lockridge | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .284 | .357 | .330 |
Christian Yelich | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .233 | .316 | .379 |
Luis Lara | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .235 | .338 | .338 |
David Hamilton | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .235 | .314 | .325 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Logan Henderson | 6.1 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 91-62 | 2.88 | 91 |
Lyon Richardson | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27-16 | 13.50 | 27 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | SD 100.0 | 7.9 | |
| T9 | SD 92.1 | 4.2 | |
| T9 | SD 96.3 | 5.5 | |
| T9 | SD 90.8 | 7.3 | |
| B8 | SD 83.5 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | SD 84.3 | 1.0 | |
| B8 | SD 85.3 | 1.4 | |
| T8 | SD 86.7 | 13.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.