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Braves at Brewers



Atlanta edged Milwaukee 4-2, breaking through in the 4th when Murphy's infield single to third plated Baldwin and moved Thomas to second. Albies paced the Braves at 2-for-5 with a run scored. Both clubs left plenty of traffic on the bases, Atlanta stranding 9 and Milwaukee 11, as the Braves improved to 76-55 and the Brewers slipped to 81-50, squaring the season series at 3-3.
Atlanta's fourth inning proved decisive when Murphy's infield single to third brought Baldwin home and pushed Thomas to second, putting the Braves in front for good in a 4-2 win.
Albies led the way for Atlanta, going 2-for-5 with a run scored, while both offenses left plenty on base, the Braves stranding 9 and the Brewers 11.
The win pushed Atlanta to 76-55 and dropped Milwaukee to 81-50, leveling the season series between the two clubs at 3-3.
The Braves lead the NL East by 4½, winners of 3 straight, 5-5 over their last 10. The Brewers lead the NL Central by 6½, coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Braves are up next home vs Dodgers (Aug 27), then home vs Rockies. The Brewers are up next at Mets (Aug 27), then home vs Rangers.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Brewers to winMiss
ATL -1.5 · 2%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATLAtlanta Braves | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 1 |
| MILMilwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michael Harris II | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .294 | .320 | .493 |
Ronald Acuna Jr. | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .232 | .336 | .409 |
Matt Olson | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | .258 | .333 | .531 |
Ozzie Albies | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .253 | .308 | .418 |
Drake Baldwin | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .268 | .351 | .443 |
Lane Thomas | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | .232 | .326 | .397 |
Mike Yastrzemski | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .229 | .317 | .385 |
Mauricio Dubon | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .268 | .315 | .394 |
Austin Riley | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | .223 | .296 | .366 |
Sean Murphy | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .143 | .143 | .167 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Mahle | 5.0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 94-60 | 4.41 | 94 |
Didier Fuentes | 2.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25-20 | 2.51 | 25 |
Dylan Lee | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21-16 | 2.15 | 21 |
Raisel Iglesias | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18-10 | 3.00 | 18 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | ATL 100.0 | 22.3 | |
| B9 | ATL 77.7 | 11.1 | |
| B9 | ATL 66.6 | 12.3 | |
| B9 | ATL 80.8 | 9.7 | |
| T9 | ATL 90.5 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | ATL 91.0 | 0.6 | |
| T9 | ATL 91.6 | 0.8 | |
| T9 | ATL 92.4 | 8.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.