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Blue Jays at Yankees



The Blue Jays held off the Yankees 4-3, getting the go-ahead run in the first when Springer singled home Guerrero Jr. Lukes did the heavy lifting at the plate, going 2-for-3 with a homer and two RBI, and Toronto needed every bit of it despite stranding 12 runners on base. The season series sits even at 6-6. The two clubs meet again Sunday, with the Blue Jays visiting the Yankees.
Springer's first-inning single brought home Guerrero Jr. and put the Blue Jays ahead for good in a 4-3 win.
Lukes led the way for Toronto, going 2-for-3 with a home run and two RBI.
Both offenses left plenty on the table, with the Blue Jays stranding 12 runners and the Yankees leaving 7 as Toronto improved to 64-67 and New York fell to 73-56.
The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Yankees sit 2nd in the AL East, 3½ games back, coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners. The Yankees are up next home vs Astros (Aug 27), then home vs Red Sox.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Yankees to winMiss
TOR -1.5 · 50%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 0 |
| NYYNew York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brett Bateman | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | .321 | .367 | .411 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | .264 | .338 | .356 |
Alejandro Kirk | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .283 | .366 | .428 |
George Springer | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | .240 | .318 | .390 |
Kazuma Okamoto | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | .230 | .300 | .438 |
Ernie Clement | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | .286 | .311 | .405 |
Daz Cameron | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .308 | .308 | .615 |
Nathan Lukes | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .260 | .312 | .373 |
Charles McAdoo | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .262 | .292 | .393 |
Myles Straw | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .213 | .270 | .322 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Cease | 6.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 111-60 | 2.37 | 111 |
Spencer Miles | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-4 | 3.02 | 8 |
Tyler Rogers | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14-11 | 1.82 | 14 |
Louis Varland | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21-12 | 1.22 | 21 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | TOR 100.0 | 16.9 | |
| B9 | TOR 85.2 | 14.2 | |
| B9 | TOR 71.0 | 15.8 | |
| B9 | TOR 55.2 | 24.4 | |
| T9 | TOR 79.6 | 3.4 | |
| T9 | TOR 82.5 | 1.9 | |
| T9 | TOR 80.6 | 1.3 | |
| T9 | TOR 81.9 | 1.6 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.