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Blue Jays at Rays



Diaz put Tampa Bay ahead early with a first inning homer to left center, and that swing held up as the Rays outlasted the Blue Jays 7-6. Diaz finished 1-for-3 with the homer and 2 RBI, doing the damage Toronto couldn't answer despite out-striking Tampa Bay 7-5. The Rays improve to 76-50 and now lead the season series 9-3. The two clubs meet again Thursday when Toronto visits Tampa Bay.
Diaz homered to left center in the first inning, scoring Caminero and putting the Rays ahead for good in a 7-6 win.
Diaz went 1-for-3 with the homer and 2 RBI to lead all hitters.
The Blue Jays actually won the strikeout battle 7-5, but it wasn't enough as Tampa Bay improved to 76-50 while Toronto fell to 62-66, with the Rays now up 9-3 in the season series.
The Rays lead the AL East by 3½, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10.
The Rays are up next home vs Padres (Aug 28-30). The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Rays to winHit
TB -1.5 · 65%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| TBTampa Bay Rays | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brett Bateman | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .271 | .314 | .313 |
Myles Straw | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | .219 | .275 | .329 |
George Springer | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .233 | .314 | .388 |
Nathan Lukes | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | .259 | .312 | .355 |
Alejandro Kirk | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | .282 | .356 | .435 |
Kazuma Okamoto | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | .228 | .301 | .431 |
Andres Gimenez | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | .238 | .283 | .355 |
Jesus Sanchez | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | .260 | .319 | .423 |
Daz Cameron | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .333 | .333 | .500 |
Josh Smith | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .220 | .303 | .305 |
Brandon Valenzuela | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .225 | .303 | .377 |
Charles McAdoo | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .292 | .327 | .458 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Scherzer | 4.0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 73-42 | 7.40 | 73 |
Braydon Fisher | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-10 | 3.52 | 13 |
Brendon Little | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13-9 | 9.00 | 13 |
Paul Sewald | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-4 | 5.93 | 6 |
Mason Fluharty | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7-6 | 3.71 | 7 |
Tyler Rogers | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-6 | 1.54 | 7 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | TB 100.0 | 11.6 | |
| T9 | TB 88.4 | 11.7 | |
| T9 | TB 82.5 | 10.7 | |
| T9 | TB 71.8 | 11.7 | |
| B8 | TB 83.5 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | TB 86.7 | 1.4 | |
| B8 | TB 85.3 | 1.4 | |
| T8 | TB 86.7 | 5.8 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.