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Blue Jays at PhilliesToronto
Blue Jays
Philadelphia
Phillies
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atBlue Jays at PhilliesThe Blue Jays edged out the Phillies in a tight 11-inning battle. Lukes delivered the decisive blow with a homer in the 11th, pushing the Jays ahead. Both teams struggled with runners on base, but the Jays left one fewer stranded. With this win, Toronto takes a 3-2 lead in the season series.
The Blue Jays outlasted the Phillies 7-5 in 11 innings, showcasing resilience in a tightly contested matchup. Lukes provided the go-ahead run with a homer to right center in the 11th, scoring Valenzuela in the process.
N. Lukes led the Blue Jays offensively, finishing 3-for-6 with a home run and two RBIs. Both teams had difficulty capitalizing on scoring opportunities, as each left nine runners stranded on the bases.
With this victory, the Blue Jays improved to 56-62 while the Phillies fell to 62-56, giving Toronto a 3-2 edge in the season series.
The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 4½ games back, coming off a win, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners. The Phillies are up next at Angels (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Phillies to winMissPHI -1.5 · 62%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| PHIPhiladelphia Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan Lukes | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | .268 | .322 | .375 |
 Brett Bateman | 0-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | .125 | .300 | .250 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .262 | .341 | .358 |
 Jesus Sanchez | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .272 | .319 | .440 |
 Alejandro Kirk | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .250 | .323 | .361 |
 George Springer | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .234 | .317 | .396 |
 Davis Schneider | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .144 | .294 | .279 |
 Ernie Clement | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .285 | .309 | .411 |
 Andres Gimenez | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | .239 | .282 | .365 |
 Brandon Valenzuela | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | .230 | .308 | .387 |
 Josh Smith | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | .218 | .301 | .293 |
 Kazuma Okamoto | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .225 | .298 | .430 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Max Scherzer | 5.1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 84-58 | 7.25 | 84 |
 Spencer Miles | 0.2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14-11 | 3.25 | 14 |
 Matt Waldron | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21-12 | 6.75 | 21 |
 Braydon Fisher | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19-9 | 3.79 | 19 |
 Louis Varland | 2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 32-20 | 1.34 | 32 |
 Lazaro Estrada | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9-6 | 3.86 | 9 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B11 | TOR 100.0 | 5.1 | |
| B11 | TOR 95.0 | 7.4 | |
| B11 | TOR 87.6 | 8.7 | |
| T11 | TOR 78.9 | 0.9 | |
| T11 | TOR 79.8 | 48.8 | |
| T11 | PHI 69.0 | 8.1 | |
| T11 | PHI 60.9 | 10.9 | |
| B10 | PHI 50.0 | 11.0 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
