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Blue Jays at PhilliesToronto
Blue Jays
Philadelphia
Phillies
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atBlue Jays at PhilliesThe Blue Jays narrowly defeated the Phillies in a tightly contested matchup. The decisive moment came in the fourth inning, highlighting key performances and missed opportunities from both teams. As the season series wraps up, both teams look ahead as they continue their campaigns.
Blue Jays edged Phillies 5-4 in a close contest. The go-ahead run came in the fourth inning when Lukes singled to right, allowing Smith to score and Bateman to advance to third.
J. Smith led the Blue Jays with a solid performance, going 3-for-4 with a home run and an RBI. Both teams struggled to capitalize on opportunities, with the Blue Jays stranding 9 runners and the Phillies leaving 11 on base.
With the win, the Blue Jays improved to 55-62, while the Phillies fell to 62-55. The season series is now tied at 2-2 after this matchup.
The Blue Jays sit 4th in the AL East, 14½ games back, coming off a win, 5-5 over their last 10. The Phillies sit 2nd in the NL East, 4½ games back, coming off a win, 8-2 over their last 10.
The Blue Jays are up next home vs Royals (Aug 27), then home vs Mariners. The Phillies are up next at Angels (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Phillies to winMissPHI -1.5 · 66%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TORToronto Blue Jays | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| PHIPhiladelphia Phillies | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan Lukes | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | .263 | .318 | .361 |
 Alejandro Kirk | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | .250 | .319 | .361 |
 Jesus Sanchez | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | .271 | .319 | .441 |
 Myles Straw | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .223 | .275 | .337 |
 George Springer | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .234 | .317 | .396 |
 Kazuma Okamoto | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | .226 | .300 | .433 |
 Andres Gimenez | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | .235 | .280 | .360 |
 Ernie Clement | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .284 | .308 | .411 |
 Josh Smith | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .219 | .299 | .295 |
 Brett Bateman | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | .500 | .750 | 1.000 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jose Soriano | 4.2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 94-62 | 3.24 | 94 |
 Mason Fluharty | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6-3 | 4.11 | 6 |
 Lazaro Estrada | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 27-13 | 4.22 | 27 |
 Brendon Little | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22-9 | 10.93 | 22 |
 Matt Waldron | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-7 | 6.95 | 12 |
 Tyler Rogers | 1.0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 35-19 | 1.73 | 35 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | TOR 100.0 | 28.2 | |
| B9 | TOR 71.8 | 26.3 | |
| B9 | PHI 54.5 | 20.2 | |
| B9 | TOR 65.7 | 12.0 | |
| B9 | TOR 77.7 | 10.8 | |
| B9 | TOR 66.9 | 13.7 | |
| B9 | TOR 80.6 | 10.2 | |
| B9 | TOR 90.8 | 4.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
