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Astros at Yankees



Astros 9, Yankees 7. Alvarez tripled home Peña in the eighth to put Houston ahead for good, and Yordan Diaz did the heavy lifting all night, going 3-for-4 with two homers and three RBIs. Houston leaned on its strikeout edge to hold the line late. Up next, the same two clubs meet again Wednesday, Astros at Yankees.
Houston struck out nine Yankees hitters while managing only three of its own, a clear edge on the mound.
The Astros move to 66-66 while the Yankees slip to 74-57 with the loss.
The season series between the two sits even at 2-2 heading into Wednesday's rematch.
The Astros lead the AL West by 0½, coming off a loss, 3-7 over their last 10. The Yankees sit 2nd in the AL East, 3½ games back, coming off a win, 7-3 over their last 10.
The Astros are up next at Yankees (Aug 27), then at Mets. The Yankees are up next home vs Astros (Aug 27), then home vs Red Sox.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Yankees to winMiss
NYY -1.5 · 57%UpsetGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUHouston Astros | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| NYYNew York Yankees | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 2 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremy Pena | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | .286 | .339 | .477 |
Yordan Alvarez | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .323 | .438 | .618 |
Isaac Paredes | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 28 | .261 | .356 | .428 |
Jose Altuve | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .247 | .310 | .399 |
Nick Allen | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .258 | .303 | .342 |
Daulton Varsho | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | .233 | .297 | .362 |
Christian Walker | 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .231 | .307 | .434 |
LaMonte Wade Jr. | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | .206 | .325 | .320 |
Cam Smith | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | .217 | .284 | .393 |
Yainer Diaz | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | .261 | .290 | .422 |
Taylor Trammell | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | .212 | .300 | .376 |
Nelson Velazquez | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | .200 | .267 | .400 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Pecko | 4.1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 88-48 | 7.88 | 88 |
Bennett Sousa | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8-6 | 4.42 | 8 |
Steven Okert | 0.2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18-13 | 2.20 | 18 |
Bryan Abreu | 1.0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15-10 | 4.17 | 15 |
Josh Hader | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10-8 | 0.81 | 10 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | HOU 100.0 | 1.5 | |
| B9 | HOU 98.5 | 3.2 | |
| B9 | HOU 95.3 | 4.8 | |
| T9 | HOU 90.5 | 1.4 | |
| T9 | HOU 91.9 | 8.9 | |
| T9 | HOU 83.0 | 2.4 | |
| T9 | HOU 80.6 | 1.3 | |
| T9 | HOU 81.9 | 1.6 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.