at
Astros at PadresHouston
Astros
San Diego
Padres
Post Game SummaryStat Savant
atAstros at PadresThe Padres edged the Astros in a close contest, with Merrill's big blast proving pivotal. J. Merrill's performance stood out as he delivered two runs for San Diego. With this win, the Padres improve their record, while the Astros hit a slight setback.
Padres edged Astros 3-2 in a tightly contested game. The go-ahead came in the 3rd inning when Merrill homered to center, a 421-foot shot that shifted the momentum. J.
The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10. The Astros lead the AL West by 0½, coming off a loss, 3-7 over their last 10.
The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30). The Astros are up next at Yankees (Aug 27), then at Mets.
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.
Padres to winHitSD -1.5 · 53%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUHouston Astros | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeremy Pena | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | .302 | .362 | .495 |
 Yordan Alvarez | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | .325 | .439 | .630 |
 Isaac Paredes | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | .253 | .347 | .418 |
 Jose Altuve | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | .245 | .308 | .398 |
 Christian Walker | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .242 | .321 | .460 |
 Daulton Varsho | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .236 | .305 | .362 |
 Cam Smith | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | .220 | .293 | .388 |
 Taylor Trammell | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | .236 | .322 | .420 |
 Yainer Diaz | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .259 | .286 | .409 |
 Christian Vazquez | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .216 | .270 | .327 |
 Jake Meyers | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .213 | .268 | .326 |
 LaMonte Wade Jr. | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .225 | .353 | .366 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Peter Lambert | 5.0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 97-64 | 3.09 | 97 |
 Enyel De Los Santos | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25-20 | 4.07 | 25 |
 Bryan King | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8-4 | 3.54 | 8 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| T9 | SD 100.0 | 7.9 | |
| T9 | SD 92.1 | 3.9 | |
| T9 | SD 96.0 | 6.5 | |
| T9 | SD 89.5 | 6.7 | |
| T9 | SD 84.4 | 8.0 | |
| B8 | SD 92.4 | 0.7 | |
| B8 | SD 93.1 | 0.8 | |
| B8 | SD 93.9 | 0.7 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.
