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Astros at Padres



The Astros take down the Padres, moving up in the standings with a solid win. Smith powers Houston with a couple of home runs, including the go-ahead shot. With this victory, both teams now sit at 60-57, but the Astros claim the first meeting of the season.
Astros beat Padres 6-3 in a decisive matchup. The go-ahead came in the 2nd inning when Smith homered to left center, sending the ball 383 feet into the stands.
C. Smith led the Astros offensively, finishing 3-for-4 with 2 home runs and 2 RBI. Houston held the edge in hits, tallying 11 to San Diego's 7.
With this win, the Astros improved to 60-57, while the Padres fell to 60-57, marking the teams' first meeting of the season with Houston taking the lead.
The Astros lead the AL West by 0½, coming off a loss, 3-7 over their last 10. The Padres sit 2nd in the NL West, 8½ games back, coming off a win, 6-4 over their last 10.
The Astros are up next at Yankees (Aug 27), then at Mets. The Padres are up next at Rays (Aug 28-30).
We ranked every clip from this game by how much it swung the win probability, kept the biggest, and play them back in the order they happened. Pick any play to jump straight to it.
Ranked by win probability added: how far each player's plays moved this game's odds, not how their box-score line reads. A single with the bases loaded in the ninth outranks a home run in a blowout, because that is what actually decided it.



Padres to winMiss
HOU -1.5 · 4%HeldGraded against the closing line across 6 books.
Runs by inning across the top, then every batter and pitcher underneath. The pills switch clubs; the totals column is each side’s own line, not a comparison.
| Inn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOUHouston Astros | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
| SDSan Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K | #P | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremy Pena | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | .306 | .367 | .502 |
Yordan Alvarez | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | .328 | .442 | .636 |
Isaac Paredes | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | .253 | .348 | .417 |
Jose Altuve | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | .244 | .309 | .400 |
Nick Allen | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .260 | .307 | .327 |
Christian Walker | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | .240 | .318 | .460 |
Daulton Varsho | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | .239 | .308 | .366 |
Yainer Diaz | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .256 | .279 | .406 |
Cam Smith | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | .222 | .294 | .392 |
Jake Meyers | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | .214 | .270 | .329 |
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | PC-ST | ERA | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ronel Blanco | 4.2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 78-47 | 6.98 | 78 |
Bennett Sousa | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7-4 | 3.38 | 7 |
AJ Blubaugh | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19-11 | 3.58 | 19 |
Steven Okert | 1.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12-9 | 2.20 | 12 |
Bryan Abreu | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24-14 | 4.29 | 24 |
Josh Hader | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17-8 | 1.08 | 17 |
Every plate appearance as it happened, newest first, with the scoring plays called out. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
| Inn | Play | Win probability | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| B9 | HOU 100.0 | 0.5 | |
| B9 | HOU 99.5 | 1.3 | |
| B9 | HOU 98.2 | 2.5 | |
| T9 | HOU 95.7 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | HOU 96.1 | 0.5 | |
| T9 | HOU 96.6 | 0.4 | |
| T9 | HOU 96.2 | 0.4 | |
| B8 | HOU 96.6 | 0.9 |
Win probability after each plate appearance, with the side in front named. Swing is how far that plate appearance moved it. Plays that scored a run are set in bold. Baseball Savant gamefeed.
The full ladder, with both clubs marked.